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Top 50 Prospects: #37 – Will Middlebrooks

#37 Will Middlebrooks

Boston Red Sox

DOB: 9/9/1988

Previous Rank: NR

ETA: 2012

Middlebrooks collected most of his at-bats for Double-A Portland in 2011.  As a 22-year-old across three levels, including 16 games in the International League, Middlebrooks slashed .285/.328/.506.  Obviously from those numbers, plate discipline is a big issue with Middlebrooks because he does not really have any.  He only walked 26 times in over 450 plate appearances, and that kind of reckless use of his time at the dish makes predicting offensive success in the AL East pretty tough.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA
2008 19 Lowell NYPL A- 59 226 209 21 53 17 2 1 21 10 0 .254
2009 20 Greenville SALL A 103 427 374 53 99 25 3 7 57 7 4 .265
2010 21 Salem CARL A+ 114 481 435 69 120 31 2 12 70 5 3 .276
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs AA-AAA-A- 116 472 439 62 125 26 1 23 94 10 1 .285
2011 22 Lowell NYPL A- 4 15 12 4 4 1 0 3 6 1 0 .333
2011 22 Portland EL AA 96 397 371 54 112 25 1 18 80 6 0 .302
2011 22 Pawtucket IL AAA 16 60 56 4 9 0 0 2 8 3 1 .161
4 Seasons 392 1606 1457 205 397 99 8 43 242 32 8 .272
A- (2 seasons) A- 63 241 221 25 57 18 2 4 27 11 0 .258
A (1 season) A 103 427 374 53 99 25 3 7 57 7 4 .265
AA (1 season) AA 96 397 371 54 112 25 1 18 80 6 0 .302
AAA (1 season) AAA 16 60 56 4 9 0 0 2 8 3 1 .161
A+ (1 season) A+ 114 481 435 69 120 31 2 12 70 5 3 .276
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/25/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev G PA AB HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2008 19 Lowell NYPL A- 59 226 209 1 21 12 73 .254 .298 .368 .666 77
2009 20 Greenville SALL A 103 427 374 7 57 48 123 .265 .349 .404 .753 151
2010 21 Salem CARL A+ 114 481 435 12 70 35 121 .276 .331 .439 .770 191
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs AA-AAA-A- 116 472 439 23 94 26 114 .285 .328 .506 .834 222
2011 22 Lowell NYPL A- 4 15 12 3 6 2 1 .333 .400 1.167 1.567 14
2011 22 Portland EL AA 96 397 371 18 80 21 95 .302 .345 .520 .865 193
2011 22 Pawtucket IL AAA 16 60 56 2 8 3 18 .161 .200 .268 .468 15
4 Seasons 392 1606 1457 43 242 121 431 .272 .330 .440 .770 641
A- (2 seasons) A- 63 241 221 4 27 14 74 .258 .304 .412 .716 91
A (1 season) A 103 427 374 7 57 48 123 .265 .349 .404 .753 151
AA (1 season) AA 96 397 371 18 80 21 95 .302 .345 .520 .865 193
AAA (1 season) AAA 16 60 56 2 8 3 18 .161 .200 .268 .468 15
A+ (1 season) A+ 114 481 435 12 70 35 121 .276 .331 .439 .770 191
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/25/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2008 19 Lowell NYPL A- BOS 3B 55 123 32 82 9 4 .927 2.07
2009 20 Greenville SALL A BOS 3B 91 211 53 144 14 11 .934 2.16
2010 21 Salem CARL A+ BOS 3B 106 345 73 253 19 29 .945 3.08
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-AAA BOS 3B 99 240 65 159 16 8 .933 2.26
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs AA-A–AAA BOS DH 17 0.00
2011 22 Lowell NYPL A- BOS DH 4 0.00
2011 22 Portland EL AA BOS 3B 85 204 55 136 13 8 .936 2.25
2011 22 Portland EL AA BOS DH 11 0.00
2011 22 Pawtucket IL AAA BOS 3B 14 36 10 23 3 0 .917 2.36
2011 22 Pawtucket IL AAA BOS DH 2 0.00
4 Seasons 368 919 223 638 58 52 .937 2.34
3B (4 seasons) 3B 351 919 223 638 58 52 .937 2.45
DH (1 season) DH 17 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/25/2011.

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Top 50 Prospects: #40 – Hak-Ju Lee

#40 Hak-Ju Lee

Tampa Bay Rays

DOB: 11/4/1990

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Lee was signed as an 18-year-old out of South Korea and was sent to Tampa from the Cubs in the Matt Garza deal.  He likely will prove to be the most valuable chip that was traded in that deal except for maybe Garza himself.  Lee is an exceptional fielder, arguably the best shortstop in the Minors today in terms of what he is capable of in the field.  He has phenomenal range and a plus arm with outstanding instincts and feel for the position.  His bat is behind and he will never provide the thump to be the consistent all-star that some other shortstop prospects likely will.

Lee is going to approach a .300 average in at least a season or two.  In 2011 across two stops including 100 at-bats in the Southern League with Montgomery, Lee posted a .292/.365/.416 slash line with 33 swipes and 37 XBH’s.  He will probably never approach a 20-bomb Major League season, but he runs well and can stretch for a handful of extra bags each year beyond a replacement level guy.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC 68 304 264 56 87 14 2 2 33 25 8 .330
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC 122 551 485 85 137 22 4 1 40 32 7 .282
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR 121 568 500 98 146 17 15 5 30 33 16 .292
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR 97 454 400 82 127 16 11 4 23 28 14 .318
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR 24 114 100 16 19 1 4 1 7 5 2 .190
3 Seasons 311 1423 1249 239 370 53 21 8 103 90 31 .296
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC 68 304 264 2 33 31 50 .330 .399 .420 .820 111
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC 122 551 485 1 40 49 86 .282 .354 .351 .704 170
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR 121 568 500 5 30 53 94 .292 .365 .416 .781 208
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR 97 454 400 4 23 42 72 .318 .389 .443 .832 177
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR 24 114 100 1 7 11 22 .190 .272 .310 .582 31
3 Seasons 311 1423 1249 8 103 133 230 .296 .368 .392 .760 489
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC SS 61 334 92 215 27 35 .919 5.03
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC SS 118 561 178 349 34 73 .939 4.47
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR SS 118 542 172 352 18 62 .967 4.44
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR SS 94 444 141 287 16 55 .964 4.55
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR DH 3 0.00
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR SS 24 98 31 65 2 7 .980 4.00
3 Seasons 300 1437 442 916 79 170 .945 4.53
SS (3 seasons) SS 297 1437 442 916 79 170 .945 4.57
DH (1 season) DH 3 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.

We expect Lee to begin 2012 as a 21-year-old shortstop in Double-A with a chance to reach the Show later in the season or open the 2013 season as the starter at Tropicana.  If we’ve learned anything, though, it’s that Tampa is more than willing to be aggressive with promotions especially in years in which they are in contention.  We expect Tampa to be very competitive in 2012 too.

Prospect Buzz: Montero, Goldschmidt, Hosmer, Wheeler, and Trout

 

As usual, the Flagrant Fan continues to churn out impressive work.  One of my daily must-read sites, the Fan also does a great job maintaining order as the President of the Baseball Bloggers Alliance’s General Chapter.  Yesterday he wrote about the Yankees’ catching situation and how Jesus Montero’s bat needs to be in the everyday lineup in 2012.  And you know what? I couldn’t agree with the Fan more.

Mike Newman of Scouting the Sally and FanGraphs explores Bill James’s 2012 projections for Paul Goldschmidt—a player Newman’s personally scouted—and more specifically, his .382 wOBA, which would place him in elite company.  Keep your eyes peeled for an upcoming Q&A with Mike, who has scouted many of baseball’s most exciting prospects in the Sally.

Also at FanGraphs, you can read a Q&A with Eric Hosmer in which he thoroughly discusses his swing and overall approach to hitting. (Sometimes I have to resist the urge to post links to every FanGraphs article; what an absolutely phenomenal site.

As we gradually unveil our Post-2011 Top 50 Prospects, I’d like to draw attention to Seedlings to Stars, who are also in the midst of their own prospect countdown.  However, their Top 100 is a bit more ambitious and really well done.  Just today we named Zack Wheeler as our No. 41 prospect, while at S2S, he was just ranked No. 51. I’m excited to see how our Top 50 rankings compare.

One of my colleagues and good buddies MJ Lloyd—a fellow staff writer at Tomahawk Take and a newly appointed staff writer at Halo Hangout—shares his thoughts on Mike Trout’s loss of rookie status for 2012.  As he contends, it really doesn’t matter. Trout will be an impact player whether he’s considered a rookie or not.

Top 50 Prospects: #41 – Zack Wheeler

#41 Zack Wheeler

New York Mets

DOB: 5/30/1990

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2014

Wheeler was traded straight up for Carlos Beltran in July and was sent immediately to High Class A St. Lucie where he posted a 2.00 ERA with a 31:5 K:BB ratio in 27 innings.  Those numbers were considerably better than those from the 88 innings he threw in the California League before the trade.  Nevertheless, Wheeler immediately became the top prospect in the Mets organization, and at just 21 years of age, he should be in the rotation at Citi by 2014.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA G GS IP BB SO HBP
2010 20 Augusta SALL A SFG 3 3 3.99 21 13 58.2 38 70 7
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+ SFG,NYM 9 7 3.52 22 22 115.0 52 129 6
2011 21 San Jose CALL A+ SFG 7 5 3.99 16 16 88.0 47 98 4
2011 21 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 2 2 2.00 6 6 27.0 5 31 2
2 Seasons 12 10 3.68 43 35 173.2 90 199 13
A+ (1 season) A+ 9 7 3.52 22 22 115.0 52 129 6
A (1 season) A 3 3 3.99 21 13 58.2 38 70 7
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/16/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2010 20 Augusta SALL A SFG 3 3 3.99 58.2 1.449 7.2 0.0 5.8 10.7 1.84
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+ SFG,NYM 9 7 3.52 115.0 1.322 7.8 0.5 4.1 10.1 2.48
2011 21 San Jose CALL A+ SFG 7 5 3.99 88.0 1.375 7.6 0.7 4.8 10.0 2.09
2011 21 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 2 2 2.00 27.0 1.148 8.7 0.0 1.7 10.3 6.20
2 Seasons 12 10 3.68 173.2 1.365 7.6 0.4 4.7 10.3 2.21
A+ (1 season) A+ 9 7 3.52 115.0 1.322 7.8 0.5 4.1 10.1 2.48
A (1 season) A 3 3 3.99 58.2 1.449 7.2 0.0 5.8 10.7 1.84
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/16/2011.

Wheeler features a fastball that sits consistently around 94-95 mph with the ability to reach back for 97 mph.  His best secondary pitch is a true 60 curveball with good 12-6 shape and about 15 mph off of the heater.  His third pitch is a changeup that is far behind the other two pitches at this point due primarily to an inability to maintain arm speed or slot.  The pitch has arm side life with sink, though, and has a chance to be a useable pitch with just minor improvement.

His 6-foot-4 frame is lanky and projectable and might still allow him to pick up a tick on the fastball.  Wheeler should begin the year in Double-A and might push that ETA up a bit, but the Mets are the worst team in the East and have no business rushing either Wheeler or Harvey in our opinion.  The good news for fans in Queens is that the Mets appear to finally have real pitching prospects with real top-of-the-rotation upside.

Top 50 Prospects: #42 – Yasmani Grandal

#42 Yasmani Grandal

Cincinnati Reds

DOB: 11/8/1988

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Grandal, a product of the Miami Hurricanes program, had a monstrous year behind the dish across three stops, culminating with four games in the International League to close the season out.  He even has collected 12 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League.  Grandal, a switch hitter, was selected 12th overall in 2010, and in his first full professional season in 2011 slashed .305/.401/.500 as a 22-year old.  He should start the year in the high Minors with a chance to break in at some point during 2012.  The more realistic scenario likely has him cracking the lineup in Cincinnati in 2013 or somewhere else via a trade since Grandal is behind Devin Mesoraco on the depth chart, a consensus top-20 prospect.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN 8 33 28 4 8 1 0 0 1 4 4 .286
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN 105 441 374 69 114 31 0 14 68 59 97 .305
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN 56 251 206 47 61 14 0 10 40 41 57 .296
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN 45 172 156 20 47 15 0 4 26 13 39 .301
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN 4 18 12 2 6 2 0 0 2 5 1 .500
2 Seasons 113 474 402 73 122 32 0 14 69 63 101 .303
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN 8 33 28 0 1 .286 .394 .321 .715 9
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN 105 441 374 14 68 .305 .401 .500 .901 187
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN 56 251 206 10 40 .296 .410 .510 .920 105
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN 45 172 156 4 26 .301 .360 .474 .835 74
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN 4 18 12 0 2 .500 .667 .667 1.333 8
2 Seasons 113 474 402 14 69 .303 .401 .488 .888 196
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G PB SB CS CS%
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN C 4 37 34 3 0 0 1.000 9.25 0 3 1 25%
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN C 90 789 704 72 13 7 .984 8.62 19 75 39 34%
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN C 44 430 389 35 6 4 .986 9.64 14 37 19 34%
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN DH 12 0.00
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN C 42 316 273 36 7 3 .978 7.36 5 36 20 36%
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN C 4 43 42 1 0 0 1.000 10.75 0 2 0 0%
2 Seasons 106 826 738 75 13 7 .984 7.67 19 78 40 34%
C (2 seasons) C 94 826 738 75 13 7 .984 8.65 19 78 40 34%
DH (1 season) DH 12 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.

Still, Grandal’s glove typically receives better grades as does his arm than Mesoraco’s.  Scouts prefer Grandal’s ability from the left side of the dish a little better than from the right, but he’s plus from both sides.  With a full season behind the dish in the Show, Grandal could amass 20 bombs and approach a .300 average with good on-base skills and above average defense.  That sounds a lot like Victor Martinez to me, especially when considering that he hits from both sides.  Grandal is the kind of big-upside backstop that every club would like to see in the high Minors.