GIF of the Moment: Robin Charges the Mound
My favorite childhood ballplayer is now my favorite team’s new manager. I just hope he’s a better skipper than he is brawler.
My favorite childhood ballplayer is now my favorite team’s new manager. I just hope he’s a better skipper than he is brawler.
Last night on The Baseball Show, Clint Evans of Diamond Hoggers, M.J. Lloyd of Off Base Percentage, and I discussed the following topics:
-Our involvement with Tomahawk Take on the FanSided Network.
-Thoughts on the Braves shortstop situation, minor league prospects, Jason Heyward, the Jair Jurrjens rumors, and the Braves rotation for next season.
-We offer our thoughts on Derek Lowe’s departure to Cleveland.
-We talk about early hot stove off-season activity: Grady Sizemore, Prince Fielder, Jose Reyes, Hanley Ramirez, Albert Pujols and many more free agents are discussed.
-We talk about the managerial possibilities around baseball: Sandy Alomar, Terry Francona, and Ryne Sandberg.
-We debate about the importance of a manager in the game of baseball today.
-I talk about Ozzie Guillen’s departure from the White Sox, and share my thoughts on Robin Ventura.
-As always, much more is discussed.
What’s there to say about Adam Dunn’s 2011 season that hasn’t already been said? With an fWAR of -2.9 over 496 plate appearances, Dunn had one of the worst seasons in baseball history and recorded career lows in nearly every offensive category. He finished the season with a triple slash line of .159/.292/.277, wRC+ of 59, .118 ISO, 27 extra-base hits, and a measly 42 RBI.
Along the way, the big man amassed three golden sombreros, putting him in a seven-way tie for first place in Major League Baseball. He picked up his first on May 21 against the Dodgers and then followed it up with his second on May 26 against the Blue Jays. The final sombrero came exactly a month later at the hands of the Washington Nationals.
Absolutely nothing went Dunn’s way in 2011; he hit like crap and was an utter disappointment in his first season with the White Sox. There wasn’t a single moment where it seemed as though Dunn might turn the corner. He never hit that dramatic walk-off bomb in front of a sold out home crowd or had a multi-home run game to rally the troops in his favor.
So what can be attributed to Dunn’s abysmal season? Well, his 35.7% strikeout rate is a good but obvious starting point. In 415 at-bats this season, Dunn set a franchise record by fanning 177 times. And although his penchant for striking out is as much of a defining trait as his longball potential, nothing pointed towards a complete offensive collapse.
In 2010, Dunn absolutely torched fastballs, as evidenced by a 32.1 wFB. This past season, however, he posted a wFB of -8.5 (!), which is easily the worst of his storied career. His inability to square up fastballs in turn damaged his approach at the plate, causing him to struggle mightily against offspeed pitches: -7.2 wSL (0.7 in 2010), -3.6 wCT (-2.5 in 2010), and -5.8 wCH (-3.9 in 2010) – all career lows.
Dunn also recorded a 57.8% O-Contact% (contact percentage on pitches thrown outside the strikezone), which, when supplemented by his 9.6% HR/FB rate, explains why he was seldom feared by opposing pitchers; they could comfortably attack him within the strikezone without the fear of 450-foot repercussions.
Here is Dunn’s ‘Swing Pitch Type’ chart from this past season:
While his selectiveness was decent—he did manage to coax 75 walks (15.1%)—Dunn simply was unable to consistently drive pitches within the strikezone, something that he’d never really struggled with. Therefore, it comes as no surprise that Dunn failed to provoke an intentional walk all season for the first time in his 11-year career.
Yet, what Dunn’s season indicates, more than anything else, is a total lack of comfort and confidence at the dish – a realm of the game that cannot be quantified. Sure we can delve through endless statistics in search of some type of rationalization, but there is no true, metric-based explanation for why a player who averaged nearly 40 home runs and 100 RBI per season would suddenly hit his way out of a starting line up.
As any hitter will tell you, there’s nothing more detrimental to one’s performance than a waning level of confidence at the plate. Once that confidence begins to waver, a hitter suddenly becomes susceptible to a slew of problems – some old, some new. After scuffling through the first month of the season, Dunn never quite turned the corner as everyone expected he would, including himself. Instead, his season spiraled out of control, as he absorbed the majority of the blame for the White Sox struggles, which in turn compounded his own personal issues.
I hope everyone enjoyed his or her holiday weekend as much as I did. Lots of exciting things happening over Labor Day weekend, so let’s jump right in.
- I finally caved and joined Twitter. Follow me @sp_flips to get up to date info and nonsense.
- So much for having a bunch of exciting finishes across multiple divisions this year. With the Giants, Indians, White Sox, and Cardinals failing to gain any ground whatsoever; it appears as if the only exciting race might be the AL West. Unless the Rays can somehow make a run for the wildcard in the AL East, that is.
- George who? Kottaras? What a special night it was for the back-up catcher. Hitting for the cycle is rare enough, but how rare is it to see a back up catcher do it? I am not completely sure, just sure enough to say that you probably won’t see it happen again in your lifetime.
- Seeing old Charlie Manuel play a game under protest took me back to my youth summer league days. Did he have to put up a $100 cash like my coaches did? Or do you think the front office covered it for him?
- Congrats to Adrian Beltre- now the youngest 3B to ever amass 2,000 hits. Just imagine what could be if he knew how to stay healthy? Wow.
- Watching Josh Beckett go down was rough. Not only does he play on my fantasy squad, but he also proliferated the notion that pitchers are not athletes. Just watch this and tell me where/how he hurt himself. (FF to the 21-second mark.)
- How about Javier Vazquez? Dude has been looking like it’s 2009 again. Make sure nobody steals his Delorean.
- I can only imagine the silence in the Jays front office boxes as Brett Lawrie did this.
- Have a great day everybody, and remember…there are only 4 days left in this workweek.
- Stephen Strasburg’s final rehab start has come and gone. He again looked supreme in comparison to the hitters he faced. He even appears to have more of a mental edge after recovering from Tommy John. Watching the way he carried himself, and the mound presence he exuded, gave me goose bumps. MLB hitters be wary. Strasburg is about to eat your soul.
- Had a conversation with a friend last night and discussed what it was like to face Matthew Moore as a senior in high school. My friend faced him twice that year and said he went from being “…Unreal the first time I faced him…to absolutely unhittable the next time I faced him.” I can’t wait to see how Moore does with the Rays.
- Tim Lincecum has finally reached stardom- sort of. He has his own t-shirt. The sillohette is pretty good, including the fantastic job they did with his hair. However, $38 for a t-shirt is stupid.
- Anybody who says the power/speed guy is history has no idea what they are talking about. The 20/20 guy is alive and well in major league baseball. There are currently seven players who have already reached this mark with more than 15 others who are a mere five HR’s or SB’s shy of reaching the milestone.
- It’s no wonder the White Sox are struggling the way they are. They are rostering three of the most detrimental players in the game. Adam Dunn, Alex Rios, and Juan Pierre have all posted negative fWAR’s so far this season. Adam Dunn at -2.6, Rios at -1.2, and Pierre at -0.1. Good luck getting that extension Ozzie Guillen.
- Goodbye Carlos Zambrano. The Cubs have said he will not pitch again this season- yet they will still pay him. Sounds like a cushy job. Until you realize that we won’t be seeing anything like this again this season.
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