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Top 50 Prospects: #47 – Jarred Cosart

#47 Jarred Cosart

Houston Astros

DOB: 5/25/1990

Previous Rank: N/A

ETA: 2013

This report is written under the assumption that Cosart will start in the Majors instead of relieve, as some suggest he is better equipped to do.  Cosart, alongside stud hitter Jonathan Singleton, was dealt at the deadline for Hunter Pence by Philadelphia.  Cosart immediately became the top-pitching prospect in the Astros’ organization and features a 95-97 mph heater that can jump up to 99.

His secondary offerings are at least 50s in terms of stuff, but he does not command them well enough to use in high volume.  At this point, his changeup is a 55 and the curve is a 50 with good shape when he works in front of his body with it.  Cosart has a 6-foot-3 frame with room to add some bulk.  His mechanics range from clean to jerky, but he is athletic and has time to gain consistency with them.

As far as stats go, 2011 was up and down.  He absolutely dominated through the middle of June, got shelled for a month and a half or so, was traded, and finally was promoted to Double-A where he was bad.  On the year his numbers are pretty meaningless, but he was able to keep his ERA near 4.00, take the ball in 26 starts, and strikeout over 100 guys in nearly 145 innings.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L W-L% ERA G GS CG SHO IP BB SO
2009 19 Phillies GULF Rk PHI 2 2 .500 2.22 7 5 0 0 24.1 7 25
2010 20 Lakewood SALL A PHI 7 3 .700 3.79 14 14 1 1 71.1 16 77
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA PHI,HOU 10 10 .500 4.12 27 26 0 0 144.1 56 101
2011 21 Clearwater FLOR A+ PHI 9 8 .529 3.92 20 19 0 0 108.0 43 79
2011 21 Corpus Christi TL AA HOU 1 2 .333 4.71 7 7 0 0 36.1 13 22
3 Seasons 19 15 .559 3.82 48 45 1 1 240.0 79 203
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/8/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2009 19 Phillies GULF Rk PHI 2.22 24.1 0.781 4.4 0.0 2.6 9.2 3.57
2010 20 Lakewood SALL A PHI 3.79 71.1 1.065 7.6 0.4 2.0 9.7 4.81
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA PHI,HOU 4.12 144.1 1.296 8.2 0.7 3.5 6.3 1.80
2011 21 Clearwater FLOR A+ PHI 3.92 108.0 1.306 8.2 0.6 3.6 6.6 1.84
2011 21 Corpus Christi TL AA HOU 4.71 36.1 1.266 8.2 1.0 3.2 5.4 1.69
3 Seasons 3.82 240.0 1.175 7.6 0.5 3.0 7.6 2.57
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/8/2011.

I personally don’t see a lot of reason to give these stats too much consideration, though, since his season was so full of off-the-field distractions that he could not control nor impact.  Regardless, Cosart’s position in our top 50 is based on his arm, age, level, and likelihood of assuming a top-of-the-rotation spot within five years.

 

 

Top 50 Prospects: #48 – Joseph Wieland

#48 Joseph Wieland

San Diego Padres

DOB: 1/21/90

Previously Ranked: N/A

ETA: 2012

Joe Wieland was part of the deal that sent Mike Adams to Texas, and considering how valuable Adams was to the bullpen in both San Diego and Texas, Wieland is obviously viewed as a future Big League contributor.  We at The Sombrero will go a step further.  Wieland will be a top of the rotation arm for years.  We are talking a solid two in the Show.

His stuff isn’t as imposing as other arms that will crack our top 50, but his command is outrageously good.  He walked 21 guys over 150 innings in 2011 for Christ’s sake.  The strikeout totals were nearly one per inning, and he did a solid job keeping the ball in the yard as well.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP BB SO
2008 18 Rangers ARIZ Rk TEX 5 1 1.44 13 7 0 0 43.2 8 41
2009 19 Hickory SALL A TEX 4 6 5.31 19 18 0 0 83.0 24 73
2010 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ TEX 11 7 4.07 26 25 2 1 148.0 25 133
2010 20 Hickory SALL A TEX 7 4 3.34 15 15 2 1 89.0 15 71
2010 20 Bakersfield CALL A+ TEX 4 3 5.19 11 10 0 0 59.0 10 62
2011 21 3 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TEX,SDP 13 4 1.97 26 25 2 2 155.2 21 150
2011 21 Myrtle Beach CARL A+ TEX 6 3 2.10 14 13 1 1 85.2 4 96
2011 21 Frisco TL AA TEX 4 0 1.23 7 7 1 1 44.0 11 36
2011 21 San Antonio TL AA SDP 3 1 2.77 5 5 0 0 26.0 6 18
4 Seasons 33 18 3.28 84 75 4 3 430.1 78 397
A (2 seasons) A 11 10 4.29 34 33 2 1 172.0 39 144
AA (1 season) AA 7 1 1.80 12 12 1 1 70.0 17 54
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 10 6 3.36 25 23 1 1 144.2 14 158
Rk (1 season) Rk 5 1 1.44 13 7 0 0 43.2 8 41
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/7/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2008 18 Rangers ARIZ Rk TEX 1.44 43.2 0.916 6.6 0.4 1.6 8.5 5.13
2009 19 Hickory SALL A TEX 5.31 83.0 1.518 11.1 0.8 2.6 7.9 3.04
2010 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ TEX 4.07 148.0 1.189 9.2 0.6 1.5 8.1 5.32
2010 20 Hickory SALL A TEX 3.34 89.0 1.112 8.5 0.4 1.5 7.2 4.73
2010 20 Bakersfield CALL A+ TEX 5.19 59.0 1.305 10.2 0.9 1.5 9.5 6.20
2011 21 3 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TEX,SDP 1.97 155.2 1.009 7.9 0.5 1.2 8.7 7.14
2011 21 Myrtle Beach CARL A+ TEX 2.10 85.2 0.957 8.2 0.7 0.4 10.1 24.00
2011 21 Frisco TL AA TEX 1.23 44.0 1.045 7.2 0.4 2.2 7.4 3.27
2011 21 San Antonio TL AA SDP 2.77 26.0 1.115 8.0 0.0 2.1 6.2 3.00
4 Seasons 3.28 430.1 1.160 8.8 0.6 1.6 8.3 5.09
A (2 seasons) A 4.29 172.0 1.308 9.7 0.6 2.0 7.5 3.69
AA (1 season) AA 1.80 70.0 1.071 7.5 0.3 2.2 6.9 3.18
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 3.36 144.2 1.099 9.0 0.8 0.9 9.8 11.29
Rk (1 season) Rk 1.44 43.2 0.916 6.6 0.4 1.6 8.5 5.13
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/7/2011.

Wieland should start the year in San Antonio, but he should move quickly to Triple-A.  There is a very real chance he cracks the rotation in San Diego by the end of 2012.  His fastball reaches 93, and his breaking ball is of the 12-6 variety with quality shape.  Both pitches are solid average to above on their own, but Wieland’s command plays each pitch into the 55-60 range.  His changeup is not used as often, but it has decent fade and should be a solid 50 pitch.  Wieland has an athletic 6-foot-3 frame and very clean and easy mechanics that should allow him to stay reasonably healthy.  This is not an ace arm, but it is the kind of No. 2 that every team wants.


Top 50 Prospects: #49 – Christian Yelich

#49 Christian Yelich
Miami Marlins
Date of Birth: December 5, 1991
Drafted: 1st Round (No. 23 overall) in 2010
ETA: 2014

19-year-old Christian Yelich, in his first full professional season, slashed .312/.388/.484 with 15 bombs, 48 XBH’s, and 32 stolen bases. He struck out in nearly a quarter of his at-bats, but he also walked in over 10% of his plate appearances.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG
2010 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-A 12 50 47 5 17 3 1 0 5 1 0 3 13 .362 .400 .468
2010 18 Marlins GULF Rk 6 26 24 3 9 1 1 0 3 1 0 2 7 .375 .423 .500
2010 18 Greensboro SALL A 6 24 23 2 8 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 6 .348 .375 .435
2011 19 Greensboro SALL A 122 521 461 73 144 32 1 15 77 32 5 55 102 .312 .388 .484
2 Seasons 134 571 508 78 161 35 2 15 82 33 5 58 115 .317 .389 .482
A (2 seasons) A 128 545 484 75 152 34 1 15 79 32 5 56 108 .314 .387 .481
Rk (1 season) Rk 6 26 24 3 9 1 1 0 3 1 0 2 7 .375 .423 .500
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/4/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2010 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-A LF 11 19 18 1 0 1 1.000 1.73
2010 18 Marlins GULF Rk LF 6 10 9 1 0 1 1.000 1.67
2010 18 Greensboro SALL A LF 5 9 9 0 0 0 1.000 1.80
2011 19 Greensboro SALL A LF 86 151 142 4 5 1 .967 1.70
2011 19 Greensboro SALL A CF 28 66 65 0 1 0 .985 2.32
2011 19 Greensboro SALL A DH 9 0.00
2011 19 Greensboro SALL A OF 113 217 207 4 6 1 .972 1.87
2 Seasons 133 236 225 5 6 2 .975 1.73
LF (2 seasons) LF 97 170 160 5 5 2 .971 1.70
CF (1 season) CF 28 66 65 0 1 0 .985 2.32
DH (1 season) DH 9 0.00
OF (1 season) OF 113 217 207 4 6 1 .972 1.87
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/3/2011.

He basically had a phenomenal year in the Sally League and should start the year in High Class A and finish the year in the high Minors with a chance to crack a Big League roster by 2013. He has a below-average arm, but runs well enough to be an everyday left fielder. His power should be a 60 by the time he finishes filling out as well. He has terrific lower body hitting mechanics with an easy weight transfer and a firm front side.

He stays inside pitches well, which allows him to drive the ball to all fields with good carry. His lanky 6-foot-4 frame is loaded with projection, and Yelich is nothing close to a finished product yet. Nevertheless, he has ascended to the top of the Marlins’ rankings and should be an impact corner guy in the show with a very good chance to hit in the middle of the order.

 

 

Top 50 Prospects: #50 – Francisco Lindor

#50 Francisco Lindor

Cleveland Indians

Previous Rank: N/A

DOB: November 14, 1993

ETA: 2015

As the first guy off the board in this year’s Sombrero Top 50, Francisco Lindor, the 8th overall selection from the 2011 draft just squeezed in.  The main knock on him and why he isn’t a little higher is the fact that he signed late and collected less than 20 at-bats as a professional in 2011.  His place among the Top 50 is based solely on who he was as an amateur; he is young (still just 17), was without a doubt the best up-the-middle player in his draft class, and grew up in a phenomenal baseball environment after immigrating to Florida from Puerto Rico.

He has across-the-board tools with a chance to be at least a 50 in each of the five traditional areas and very little downside.  He is listed at 5-foot-11 and 175-pounds, but probably has an inch or two left to grow and should approach 200-pounds by the time he gets makes his big-league debut.  His power tool blossomed a lot during his senior year at Montverde, but still is what scouts like to call in the “doubles” or “gap” range.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H RBI SB BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2011 17 Mahoning Valley NYPL A- CLE 5 20 19 4 6 2 1 1 5 .316 .350 .316 .666 6
1 Season 5 20 19 4 6 2 1 1 5 .316 .350 .316 .666 6
Year Age Tm Lg Lev G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2011 17 Mahoning Valley NYPL A- SS 4 20 7 12 1 6 .950 4.75
1 Season 5 20 7 12 1 6 .950 3.80
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/2/2011.

Whatever you want to call it, Lindor is a guy with easy athleticism who has a chance to be an impact bat at the toughest position, and has age on his side.  He should rise quickly and may realistically be on a 25-man by his 20th birthday.

 

 


Shilo McCall Commits to Arkansas

Perhaps the most accomplished position player in the history of San Juan County, Piedra Vista HS and Strike Zone Cardinal CF, Shilo McCall, has verbally committed to Arkansas.  McCall is an excellent student with elite tools across the board.  At 6-foot-1 and 210-pounds, and just 17 years of age, Shilo is one of the more imposing players on any diamond he plays.  His mechanics have always been sound as he takes a very direct path to contact with excellent weight transfer.  Everything Shilo does on the offensive side of the ball is exceptional as he also has run 60’s in the 6.5 to 6.6 range.

Shilo still has room to grow as a player, particularly on the defensive end.  His actions in the outfield are representative of a player who is still somewhat new to an everyday outfield role.  Some have suggested that his tools play better in left, but with obvious speed and the ability to improve in terms of jumps on the ball, there is no reason that Shilo cannot stay in center.  There is also no reason that his arm can’t tick up to a point that he can be an everyday right fielder.

I’ve heard from pretty reliable sources that Shilo has a chance to get inside the top three rounds of the draft, so hopefully he is left with a very difficult choice to make this summer.  Now that he has a career in the SEC as leverage, something tells me that his stock is rising.  Good luck and congratulations!