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Top 50 Prospects: #42 – Yasmani Grandal

#42 Yasmani Grandal

Cincinnati Reds

DOB: 11/8/1988

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Grandal, a product of the Miami Hurricanes program, had a monstrous year behind the dish across three stops, culminating with four games in the International League to close the season out.  He even has collected 12 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League.  Grandal, a switch hitter, was selected 12th overall in 2010, and in his first full professional season in 2011 slashed .305/.401/.500 as a 22-year old.  He should start the year in the high Minors with a chance to break in at some point during 2012.  The more realistic scenario likely has him cracking the lineup in Cincinnati in 2013 or somewhere else via a trade since Grandal is behind Devin Mesoraco on the depth chart, a consensus top-20 prospect.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN 8 33 28 4 8 1 0 0 1 4 4 .286
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN 105 441 374 69 114 31 0 14 68 59 97 .305
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN 56 251 206 47 61 14 0 10 40 41 57 .296
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN 45 172 156 20 47 15 0 4 26 13 39 .301
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN 4 18 12 2 6 2 0 0 2 5 1 .500
2 Seasons 113 474 402 73 122 32 0 14 69 63 101 .303
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN 8 33 28 0 1 .286 .394 .321 .715 9
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN 105 441 374 14 68 .305 .401 .500 .901 187
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN 56 251 206 10 40 .296 .410 .510 .920 105
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN 45 172 156 4 26 .301 .360 .474 .835 74
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN 4 18 12 0 2 .500 .667 .667 1.333 8
2 Seasons 113 474 402 14 69 .303 .401 .488 .888 196
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G PB SB CS CS%
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN C 4 37 34 3 0 0 1.000 9.25 0 3 1 25%
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN C 90 789 704 72 13 7 .984 8.62 19 75 39 34%
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN C 44 430 389 35 6 4 .986 9.64 14 37 19 34%
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN DH 12 0.00
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN C 42 316 273 36 7 3 .978 7.36 5 36 20 36%
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN C 4 43 42 1 0 0 1.000 10.75 0 2 0 0%
2 Seasons 106 826 738 75 13 7 .984 7.67 19 78 40 34%
C (2 seasons) C 94 826 738 75 13 7 .984 8.65 19 78 40 34%
DH (1 season) DH 12 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.

Still, Grandal’s glove typically receives better grades as does his arm than Mesoraco’s.  Scouts prefer Grandal’s ability from the left side of the dish a little better than from the right, but he’s plus from both sides.  With a full season behind the dish in the Show, Grandal could amass 20 bombs and approach a .300 average with good on-base skills and above average defense.  That sounds a lot like Victor Martinez to me, especially when considering that he hits from both sides.  Grandal is the kind of big-upside backstop that every club would like to see in the high Minors.


Top 50 Prospects: #43 – Zack Cox

#43 Zack Cox

St. Louis Cardinals

DOB: 5/9/1989

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Zack Cox had the best hit tool grading in the 2010 class, was arguably the best hitter in Arkansas history despite only staying there for two seasons, and was a massive steal for the Cardinals as the 25th pick overall.  In just his first full professional season, Cox reached Double-A and posted very respectable numbers with a slash line of .306/.363/.434 across two stops.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA
2010 21 Cardinals GULF Rk STL 4 17 15 0 6 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 .400
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-A+ STL 135 569 516 76 158 27 13 68 2 3 40 98 .306
2011 22 Palm Beach FLOR A+ STL 42 180 164 22 55 8 3 20 2 2 11 29 .335
2011 22 Springfield TL AA STL 93 389 352 54 103 19 10 48 0 1 29 69 .293
2 Seasons 139 586 531 76 164 28 13 69 2 3 41 101 .309
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/14/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2010 21 Cardinals GULF Rk STL 4 17 15 0 1 .400 .471 .467 .937 7
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-A+ STL 135 569 516 13 68 .306 .363 .434 .797 224
2011 22 Palm Beach FLOR A+ STL 42 180 164 3 20 .335 .380 .439 .819 72
2011 22 Springfield TL AA STL 93 389 352 10 48 .293 .355 .432 .787 152
2 Seasons 139 586 531 13 69 .309 .366 .435 .801 231
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/14/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2010 21 Cardinals GULF Rk STL 3B 3 6 0 6 0 0 1.000 2.00
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-A+ STL 3B 122 297 50 223 24 18 .919 2.24
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA STL DH 11 0.00
2011 22 Palm Beach FLOR A+ STL 3B 35 69 14 51 4 2 .942 1.86
2011 22 Palm Beach FLOR A+ STL DH 7 0.00
2011 22 Springfield TL AA STL 3B 87 228 36 172 20 16 .912 2.39
2011 22 Springfield TL AA STL DH 4 0.00
2 Seasons 136 303 50 229 24 18 .921 2.05
3B (2 seasons) 3B 125 303 50 229 24 18 .921 2.23
DH (1 season) DH 11 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/14/2011.

He really has little to prove in the Texas League and should open the year in Triple-A.  Realistically, though, he might be forced to repeat the level if for no other reason than to slow his development down somewhat considering that David Freese seems firmly entrenched at third in St. Louis for a few years.  Cox is a true 70-grade hitter who hits to all parts of the yard, has tremendous balance, bat track, and timing as well as exceptional judgment of both the strike zone and the hitting zone..  His lower half is virtually always fully loaded and on time.  Cox practically never breaks down in his front half but somehow is never really behind anything either.

His pitch selection and recognition is arguably the best in the Minors today, and most balls he squares up have outstanding carry to them.  The one knock, and it’s a small one, is that Cox has a tendency to stay so inside of pitches, particularly on the inner half, that he fails to fully clear and drive long to the pull side.  Personally, if he never corrects this, I still see an all-star bat if he can stay at third.  His glove and speed are far behind his hit tool as well as his power and arm tools, which both grade as 55-60.  He booted 20 grounders in under 90 games in the Texas League and has a long way to go as far as footwork goes, but there is enough to like about his fielding to let him stick at the hot corner in the short term.  St. Louis fans probably don’t want to hear this, but Zach Cox could make Albert Pujols dispensable in some ways.

Top 50 Prospects: #44 – Sonny Gray

#44 Sonny Gray

Oakland Athletics

DOB: 11/7/1989

Previous Rank: N/A

ETA: 2013

Sonny Gray receives constant knocks for being undersized, having a high-effort delivery, and lacking an average or above third pitch. We at The Sombrero have never shied away from guys with sound yet high-energy deliveries. In fact, in some cases we prefer them. Gray is one of those cases.

He is extremely athletic and has never given anyone reason to fear injury beyond the fact that he is small-bodied and very explosive. His breaking ball was the best one in the 2011 draft class, even at only 5-foot-11. His fastball can reach 97 mph, and he sits at 93-95 mph most starts. His fastball, like most short righties, has phenomenal carry and explodes through the strike zone.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L W-L% ERA G GS IP BB SO
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-Rk OAK 1 1 .500 0.82 6 6 22.0 6 20
2011 21 Athletics ARIZ Rk OAK 0 1 .000 4.50 1 1 2.0 0 2
2011 21 Midland TL AA OAK 1 0 1.000 0.45 5 5 20.0 6 18
1 Season 1 1 .500 0.82 6 6 22.0 6 20
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/9/2011.

 

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-Rk OAK 0.82 22.0 1.136 7.8 0.0 2.5 8.2 3.33
2011 21 Athletics ARIZ Rk OAK 4.50 2.0 2.000 18.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
2011 21 Midland TL AA OAK 0.45 20.0 1.050 6.8 0.0 2.7 8.1 3.00
1 Season 0.82 22.0 1.136 7.8 0.0 2.5 8.2 3.33
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/9/2011.

 

Gray reached Double-A by his second professional start and only allowed a single run in 20 innings. His peripherals were solid despite being low in quantity (18 strikeouts vs. 6 walks). Gray was one of the best pitchers in the history of Vanderbilt, and, while many scouts see a reliever or mid-rotation starter, we see two 60 pitches with a chance at a 50 third pitch, a fast mover, and ace potential. The only obstacles to overcome are public opinion and minor command issues. The Bay Area has been pretty accepting of small-bodied righties with explosive fastballs and hammer benders recently, so we think Gray will be able to solve at least one of these issues fairly easily.




Top 50 Prospects: #45 – Matt Harvey

#45 Matt Harvey

New York Mets

DOB: 3/27/1989

Previous Rank: N/A

ETA: 2013

Harvey was the top collegiate arm in the 2010 class, but his career at North Carolina was not a smooth ride like most figured it would be considering that his fastball can reach 98 mph and he carries mid-90s velocity deep into nearly every start.  His mechanics and deception, as well as fastball life, have greatly improved in the last two years.  He throws two breaking ball variations, one of which is more of a slider while the other is more of a hard downer curve.

Scouts are fairly split on which one has the better prognosis, but at the Sombrero we think that each has its place when considering what side of the plate his opponent is hitting from.  His changeup is behind and he doesn’t throw it often or consistently enough yet, but it has some arm side action to it as well.  It profiles as a 50 while both breaking ball variations can be 60s or 70s given the day.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA G GS IP HR BB SO
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA NYM 13 5 3.32 26 26 135.2 9 47 156
2011 22 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 8 2 2.37 14 14 76.0 5 24 92
2011 22 Binghamton EL AA NYM 5 3 4.53 12 12 59.2 4 23 64
1 Season 13 5 3.32 26 26 135.2 9 47 156
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/10/2011.

 

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2011 22 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA NYM 3.32 135.2 1.268 8.3 0.6 3.1 10.3 3.32
2011 22 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 2.37 76.0 1.197 7.9 0.6 2.8 10.9 3.83
2011 22 Binghamton EL AA NYM 4.53 59.2 1.358 8.7 0.6 3.5 9.7 2.78
1 Season 3.32 135.2 1.268 8.3 0.6 3.1 10.3 3.32
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/10/2011.

 

Harvey has a terrific frame at 6-foot-4 and 210-pounds, and his numbers suggest that he could reach the Big Leagues as early as 2013.  Across two levels, including 12 Double-A starts, Harvey struck out 156 guys next to 47 walks in 135.2 innings.  He kept the ball in the yard quite well too and finished the year with a 3.32 ERA.  The future looks bright for Harvey, and maybe, just maybe, the Mets might not blow it with him.


Top 50 Prospects: #46 – Michael Choice

#46 Michael Choice

Oakland Athletics

DOB: 11/10/1989

Previous Rank: N/A

ETA: 2013

Choice had a terrific first full season of professional baseball as a 21-year-old. He had an outstanding career at UT-Arlington and was deservedly selected with the tenth overall pick in 2010. With Stockton this year in the California League, Choice slashed .285/.376/.542 and went deep 30 times. He struck out 134 times but walked enough to justify it.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA
2010 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A–Rk OAK 30 130 109 21 29 10 2 7 26 6 1 17 45 .266
2010 20 Athletics ARIZ Rk OAK 3 9 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 .000
2010 20 Vancouver NORW A- OAK 27 121 102 20 29 10 2 7 26 6 1 15 43 .284
2011 21 Stockton CALL A+ OAK 118 542 467 79 133 28 1 30 82 9 5 61 134 .285
2 Seasons 148 672 576 100 162 38 3 37 108 15 6 78 179 .281
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/9/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2010 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A–Rk OAK 30 130 109 7 26 .266 .377 .587 .964 64
2010 20 Athletics ARIZ Rk OAK 3 9 7 0 0 .000 .222 .000 .222 0
2010 20 Vancouver NORW A- OAK 27 121 102 7 26 .284 .388 .627 1.016 64
2011 21 Stockton CALL A+ OAK 118 542 467 30 82 .285 .376 .542 .918 253
2 Seasons 148 672 576 37 108 .281 .376 .550 .927 317
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/9/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2010 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A–Rk OAK CF 29 63 60 1 2 0 .968 2.10
2010 20 Athletics ARIZ Rk OAK CF 2 3 3 0 0 0 1.000 1.50
2010 20 Vancouver NORW A- OAK CF 27 60 57 1 2 0 .967 2.15
2011 21 Stockton CALL A+ OAK CF 98 219 206 7 6 1 .973 2.17
2011 21 Stockton CALL A+ OAK DH 20 0.00
2011 21 Stockton CALL A+ OAK OF 98 219 206 7 6 1 .973 2.17
2 Seasons 147 282 266 8 8 1 .972 1.86
CF (2 seasons) CF 127 282 266 8 8 1 .972 2.16
DH (1 season) DH 20 0.00
OF (1 season) OF 98 219 206 7 6 1 .973 2.17
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/9/2011.

There is some swing-and-miss with Choice, but no part of any park can hold him, and his defense is far better than one would expect from this kind of power bat. There is a realistic chance that Choice can stay in CF, and if he can, then he will be an all-star year in and year out. While his speed is a 60, he doesn’t necessarily use it very well stealing bases. It is better reflected in the field and moving from base to base on contact.

The down tool with Choice is his arm, so his value drops considerably if he is forced to move away of center, but by no means is that move imminent or even likely. Michael Choice can take a huge step forward perhaps even into the top 10 with a big 2012 in the high Minors.