Top 50 Prospects: #31 – Robbie Erlin | The Golden Sombrero Baseball Blog | MLB, Fantasy, College & High School Baseball News

Top 50 Prospects: #31 – Robbie Erlin

#31 Robbie Erlin

San Diego Padres

DOB: 10/8/1990

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2012

Erlin was the prize of the Mike Adams deal, and he is perhaps the most unique pitcher of the Top-50.  While many of the elite arms on this list have blazing hot fastballs and need to come up some in terms of commanding pitches and developing useable third pitches, Erlin already has plus secondary offerings and command.  His breaking ball has terrific shape as does his changeup, and he locates both nearly as well as his fastball.

His fastball works in the 88-91 mph range, but can reach 93 mph when he lets one go.  Erlin gets great plane on his pitches despite only being 6-foot, and has fluid, repeatable, and athletic mechanics that should keep him healthy.  His 2.99 ERA across two leagues (including 16 starts in the Texas League) and 154 strikeouts in 147.1 innings reflect just how dominant Erlin can be despite not having prototypical ace stuff.  He only walked 16 guys all season, and despite a bit of a propensity for flyballs, Erlin projects as a very solid No. 2 option in the Show.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA G GS SV IP BB SO
2009 18 Rangers ARIZ Rk TEX 0 0 2.25 3 0 0 4.0 1 9
2010 19 Hickory SALL A TEX 6 3 2.12 28 17 1 114.2 17 125
2011 20 3 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TEX,SDP 9 4 2.99 26 25 0 147.1 16 154
2011 20 Myrtle Beach CARL A+ TEX 3 2 2.14 9 9 0 54.2 5 62
2011 20 Frisco TL AA TEX 5 2 4.32 11 10 0 66.2 7 61
2011 20 San Antonio TL AA SDP 1 0 1.38 6 6 0 26.0 4 31
3 Seasons 15 7 2.61 57 42 1 266.0 34 288
AA (1 season) AA 6 2 3.50 17 16 0 92.2 11 92
A (1 season) A 6 3 2.12 28 17 1 114.2 17 125
Rk (1 season) Rk 0 0 2.25 3 0 0 4.0 1 9
A+ (1 season) A+ 3 2 2.14 9 9 0 54.2 5 62
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/6/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2009 18 Rangers ARIZ Rk TEX 0 0 2.25 4.0 1.500 11.2 0.0 2.2 20.2 9.00
2010 19 Hickory SALL A TEX 6 3 2.12 114.2 0.924 7.0 0.7 1.3 9.8 7.35
2011 20 3 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TEX,SDP 9 4 2.99 147.1 0.950 7.6 1.1 1.0 9.4 9.63
2011 20 Myrtle Beach CARL A+ TEX 3 2 2.14 54.2 0.549 4.1 1.2 0.8 10.2 12.40
2011 20 Frisco TL AA TEX 5 2 4.32 66.2 1.200 9.9 1.2 0.9 8.2 8.71
2011 20 San Antonio TL AA SDP 1 0 1.38 26.0 1.154 9.0 0.7 1.4 10.7 7.75
3 Seasons 15 7 2.61 266.0 0.947 7.4 0.9 1.2 9.7 8.47
AA (1 season) AA 6 2 3.50 92.2 1.187 9.6 1.1 1.1 8.9 8.36
A (1 season) A 6 3 2.12 114.2 0.924 7.0 0.7 1.3 9.8 7.35
Rk (1 season) Rk 0 0 2.25 4.0 1.500 11.2 0.0 2.2 20.2 9.00
A+ (1 season) A+ 3 2 2.14 54.2 0.549 4.1 1.2 0.8 10.2 12.40
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/6/2011.

In a yard like Petco, it is quite reasonable to expect Erlin to perform like a No. 1.  We expect him to make at least 10-15 starts in Triple-A before being called up, and he will have to continue to prove that his command is good enough to overcome a lack in pace, but we expect him to stick in the Padre rotation for years.


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