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Top 50 Prospects: #40 – Hak-Ju Lee

#40 Hak-Ju Lee

Tampa Bay Rays

DOB: 11/4/1990

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Lee was signed as an 18-year-old out of South Korea and was sent to Tampa from the Cubs in the Matt Garza deal.  He likely will prove to be the most valuable chip that was traded in that deal except for maybe Garza himself.  Lee is an exceptional fielder, arguably the best shortstop in the Minors today in terms of what he is capable of in the field.  He has phenomenal range and a plus arm with outstanding instincts and feel for the position.  His bat is behind and he will never provide the thump to be the consistent all-star that some other shortstop prospects likely will.

Lee is going to approach a .300 average in at least a season or two.  In 2011 across two stops including 100 at-bats in the Southern League with Montgomery, Lee posted a .292/.365/.416 slash line with 33 swipes and 37 XBH’s.  He will probably never approach a 20-bomb Major League season, but he runs well and can stretch for a handful of extra bags each year beyond a replacement level guy.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC 68 304 264 56 87 14 2 2 33 25 8 .330
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC 122 551 485 85 137 22 4 1 40 32 7 .282
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR 121 568 500 98 146 17 15 5 30 33 16 .292
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR 97 454 400 82 127 16 11 4 23 28 14 .318
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR 24 114 100 16 19 1 4 1 7 5 2 .190
3 Seasons 311 1423 1249 239 370 53 21 8 103 90 31 .296
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC 68 304 264 2 33 31 50 .330 .399 .420 .820 111
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC 122 551 485 1 40 49 86 .282 .354 .351 .704 170
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR 121 568 500 5 30 53 94 .292 .365 .416 .781 208
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR 97 454 400 4 23 42 72 .318 .389 .443 .832 177
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR 24 114 100 1 7 11 22 .190 .272 .310 .582 31
3 Seasons 311 1423 1249 8 103 133 230 .296 .368 .392 .760 489
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC SS 61 334 92 215 27 35 .919 5.03
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC SS 118 561 178 349 34 73 .939 4.47
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR SS 118 542 172 352 18 62 .967 4.44
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR SS 94 444 141 287 16 55 .964 4.55
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR DH 3 0.00
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR SS 24 98 31 65 2 7 .980 4.00
3 Seasons 300 1437 442 916 79 170 .945 4.53
SS (3 seasons) SS 297 1437 442 916 79 170 .945 4.57
DH (1 season) DH 3 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.

We expect Lee to begin 2012 as a 21-year-old shortstop in Double-A with a chance to reach the Show later in the season or open the 2013 season as the starter at Tropicana.  If we’ve learned anything, though, it’s that Tampa is more than willing to be aggressive with promotions especially in years in which they are in contention.  We expect Tampa to be very competitive in 2012 too.

GIF of the Moment: Robin Charges the Mound

My favorite childhood ballplayer is now my favorite team’s new manager. I just hope he’s a better skipper than he is brawler.

Prospect Buzz: Montero, Goldschmidt, Hosmer, Wheeler, and Trout

 

As usual, the Flagrant Fan continues to churn out impressive work.  One of my daily must-read sites, the Fan also does a great job maintaining order as the President of the Baseball Bloggers Alliance’s General Chapter.  Yesterday he wrote about the Yankees’ catching situation and how Jesus Montero’s bat needs to be in the everyday lineup in 2012.  And you know what? I couldn’t agree with the Fan more.

Mike Newman of Scouting the Sally and FanGraphs explores Bill James’s 2012 projections for Paul Goldschmidt—a player Newman’s personally scouted—and more specifically, his .382 wOBA, which would place him in elite company.  Keep your eyes peeled for an upcoming Q&A with Mike, who has scouted many of baseball’s most exciting prospects in the Sally.

Also at FanGraphs, you can read a Q&A with Eric Hosmer in which he thoroughly discusses his swing and overall approach to hitting. (Sometimes I have to resist the urge to post links to every FanGraphs article; what an absolutely phenomenal site.

As we gradually unveil our Post-2011 Top 50 Prospects, I’d like to draw attention to Seedlings to Stars, who are also in the midst of their own prospect countdown.  However, their Top 100 is a bit more ambitious and really well done.  Just today we named Zack Wheeler as our No. 41 prospect, while at S2S, he was just ranked No. 51. I’m excited to see how our Top 50 rankings compare.

One of my colleagues and good buddies MJ Lloyd—a fellow staff writer at Tomahawk Take and a newly appointed staff writer at Halo Hangout—shares his thoughts on Mike Trout’s loss of rookie status for 2012.  As he contends, it really doesn’t matter. Trout will be an impact player whether he’s considered a rookie or not.

Video: NL Cy Young Winner Clayton Kershaw

2011 NL Cy Young Winner Clayton Kershaw warms up in the bullpen before a 2010 start

Top 50 Prospects: #41 – Zack Wheeler

#41 Zack Wheeler

New York Mets

DOB: 5/30/1990

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2014

Wheeler was traded straight up for Carlos Beltran in July and was sent immediately to High Class A St. Lucie where he posted a 2.00 ERA with a 31:5 K:BB ratio in 27 innings.  Those numbers were considerably better than those from the 88 innings he threw in the California League before the trade.  Nevertheless, Wheeler immediately became the top prospect in the Mets organization, and at just 21 years of age, he should be in the rotation at Citi by 2014.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA G GS IP BB SO HBP
2010 20 Augusta SALL A SFG 3 3 3.99 21 13 58.2 38 70 7
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+ SFG,NYM 9 7 3.52 22 22 115.0 52 129 6
2011 21 San Jose CALL A+ SFG 7 5 3.99 16 16 88.0 47 98 4
2011 21 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 2 2 2.00 6 6 27.0 5 31 2
2 Seasons 12 10 3.68 43 35 173.2 90 199 13
A+ (1 season) A+ 9 7 3.52 22 22 115.0 52 129 6
A (1 season) A 3 3 3.99 21 13 58.2 38 70 7
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/16/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2010 20 Augusta SALL A SFG 3 3 3.99 58.2 1.449 7.2 0.0 5.8 10.7 1.84
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+ SFG,NYM 9 7 3.52 115.0 1.322 7.8 0.5 4.1 10.1 2.48
2011 21 San Jose CALL A+ SFG 7 5 3.99 88.0 1.375 7.6 0.7 4.8 10.0 2.09
2011 21 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 2 2 2.00 27.0 1.148 8.7 0.0 1.7 10.3 6.20
2 Seasons 12 10 3.68 173.2 1.365 7.6 0.4 4.7 10.3 2.21
A+ (1 season) A+ 9 7 3.52 115.0 1.322 7.8 0.5 4.1 10.1 2.48
A (1 season) A 3 3 3.99 58.2 1.449 7.2 0.0 5.8 10.7 1.84
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/16/2011.

Wheeler features a fastball that sits consistently around 94-95 mph with the ability to reach back for 97 mph.  His best secondary pitch is a true 60 curveball with good 12-6 shape and about 15 mph off of the heater.  His third pitch is a changeup that is far behind the other two pitches at this point due primarily to an inability to maintain arm speed or slot.  The pitch has arm side life with sink, though, and has a chance to be a useable pitch with just minor improvement.

His 6-foot-4 frame is lanky and projectable and might still allow him to pick up a tick on the fastball.  Wheeler should begin the year in Double-A and might push that ETA up a bit, but the Mets are the worst team in the East and have no business rushing either Wheeler or Harvey in our opinion.  The good news for fans in Queens is that the Mets appear to finally have real pitching prospects with real top-of-the-rotation upside.