The Golden Sombrero Baseball Blog | MLB, Fantasy, College & High School Baseball News

A Trade, A Fan, and A Story

 

 

Welcome to the big leagues Jeff Luhnow.  A mere six days into his inaugural tenure as a general manager of a Major League franchise Mr. Luhnow has already completed his first trade.  As a fan I’m stoked.  Sure, it might have cost us a cheap and controlled closer, but who cares when you’re only going to win 55-60 games.  We were able to bring back a shortstop that has a higher ceiling than any of the other options left via free agency, and we brought back a young arm that has the potential to be as good as a number 3 starter.  Sweet.

There was still one part of this trade that left me with my mouth just a bit open and my mind grasping at straws…we didn’t shed any of the large salaries we have trade Carlos, Wandy, or Brett.  As a matter of fact, the exact opposite occurred.  Whatever.  After being strong armed in to joining the American League, showing up to prom stag (RE: the Winter Meetings), and having David Stern defecate all over the Houston Rockets, it is nice to be able to say that something positive is happening in Houston sports.[1]  I can handle the fact that the rebuilding process will test my heart and drive for the team.  I can accept that.  What I would not have been able to handle was a blown move right out of the gate.  So it is nice to finally enjoy a victory as an Astros fan- no matter how small that victory may be.

I will be sad to see Mark Melancon leave, though.  Not because of any stats, or because he made one of my outlandish predictions come true, or because of any way he could possibly help the team between the lines.  Melancon will be just fine as a closer.  As he logs more innings his BB/9 will decrease and finally allow his 8K/9 to let him slam the door shut.[2]   No, this break-up is of a more personal shade.  Before Marky Mark was chuckin’ in The Show, he and I were teammates in Tucson.  We were both on the 2004 University of Arizona team that went to the CWS that year.  You can only imagine my excitement when he came to Houston as part of the deal that sent Berkman to the Yankees.  It was pretty cool to have a friend playing for your favorite team.  It was a unique lens from which to view.  But that is neither here nor there.  Honestly, I just wanted to share a quick story about Mark and myself from that 2004 trip to Omaha.  It goes like this…

It was the night after our first game of the tournament- a loss to Georgia- and Mark and I were back at the hotel.  Because I was medical redshirting and not playing I was obviously itching to go out and enjoy the local taverns and watering holes.  Mark tells me that he has some friends from high school in town and I should hang out with them.  One house party, and many sodas later, I find myself back at the hotel approximately 3:30 A.M.  Not quite sure which room was mine I began trying them all.  Then called my girlfriend at the time to find out why she wouldn’t open the door to her apartment.  She immediately realized how lost I was and called Mark, begged relentlessly, and convinced him to find me.  He finds me on the floor below and politely walks me back to the room.  Then Beelzebub reared his true colors.  His eyes locked with mine and I felt his tug on my soul as he yelled something at me about how, “…and If I blow a f—–g save tomorrow I’m going to f—–g kill you!”  Sure enough, the next day Mark, the true freshman, was out there in a win-or-go-home game at the College World Series.  And true to form Marky Mark shoved and made sure we saw another game that season.  It was tits.  Mark, if you ever read this, big ups man.  You deserve everything that comes your way.

 


[1] No, the Texans don’t count for me.  I grew up an Oilers fan and moved out of Houston before the Texans were a team.

[2] Don’t believe me?  Look at the splits for him pre and post All-Star break.  Match that trend with the fact that he is finally throwing his new cutter with much better control and I think you will agree with me.

Top 50 Prospects: #26 – Manny Banuelos

#26 Manny Banuelos

New York Yankees

DOB: 3/13/1991

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2012

Don’t look now, but it appears the Yankees will graduate a quality young starting pitcher to the Big Leagues for the second consecutive season.  Banuelos’ 5-foot-11 and 155-pound frame certainly does not ooze projection, but the southpaw can reach back for 95 mph when he needs it and cruises at 92-94 mph most nights.

Because his command is shaky (52 walks in under 160 innings), most evaluators prefer him at the lower end, but he should improve as he matures.  His secondary stuff has great action in the form of a changeup with sharp fade and a heavy, digging breaking ball.  He can afford to come up a little in terms of command with all of his pitches, but the stuff is there.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP BB SO
2008 17 Yankees GULF Rk 4 1 2.57 12 3 0 0 42.0 13 37
2009 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ 9 5 2.64 26 19 0 0 109.0 28 106
2009 18 Charleston SALL A 9 5 2.67 25 19 0 0 108.0 28 104
2009 18 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 0 0.00 1 0 0 0 1.0 0 2
2010 19 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-Rk 0 4 2.51 15 15 0 0 64.2 25 85
2010 19 Yankees GULF Rk 0 0 1.80 2 2 0 0 5.0 3 6
2010 19 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 3 2.23 10 10 0 0 44.1 14 62
2010 19 Trenton EL AA 0 1 3.52 3 3 0 0 15.1 8 17
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-AAA 6 7 3.75 27 27 1 1 129.2 71 125
2011 20 Trenton EL AA 4 5 3.59 20 20 0 0 95.1 52 94
2011 20 Scranton/Wilkes-Barre IL AAA 2 2 4.19 7 7 1 1 34.1 19 31
4 Seasons 19 17 3.02 80 64 1 1 345.1 137 353
AA (2 seasons) AA 4 6 3.58 23 23 0 0 110.2 60 111
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 4 1 2.49 14 5 0 0 47.0 16 43
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 0 3 2.18 11 10 0 0 45.1 14 64
A (1 season) A 9 5 2.67 25 19 0 0 108.0 28 104
AAA (1 season) AAA 2 2 4.19 7 7 1 1 34.1 19 31
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/13/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2008 17 Yankees GULF Rk 4 1 2.57 42.0 1.071 6.9 0.6 2.8 7.9 2.85
2009 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ 9 5 2.64 109.0 1.064 7.3 0.3 2.3 8.8 3.79
2009 18 Charleston SALL A 9 5 2.67 108.0 1.074 7.3 0.3 2.3 8.7 3.71
2009 18 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 0 0.00 1.0 0.000 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0
2010 19 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-Rk 0 4 2.51 64.2 1.222 7.5 0.4 3.5 11.8 3.40
2010 19 Yankees GULF Rk 0 0 1.80 5.0 0.800 1.8 0.0 5.4 10.8 2.00
2010 19 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 3 2.23 44.1 1.173 7.7 0.2 2.8 12.6 4.43
2010 19 Trenton EL AA 0 1 3.52 15.1 1.500 8.8 1.2 4.7 10.0 2.13
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-AAA 6 7 3.75 129.2 1.550 9.0 0.6 4.9 8.7 1.76
2011 20 Trenton EL AA 4 5 3.59 95.1 1.531 8.9 0.7 4.9 8.9 1.81
2011 20 Scranton/Wilkes-Barre IL AAA 2 2 4.19 34.1 1.602 9.4 0.5 5.0 8.1 1.63
4 Seasons 19 17 3.02 345.1 1.277 7.9 0.5 3.6 9.2 2.58
AA (2 seasons) AA 4 6 3.58 110.2 1.527 8.9 0.7 4.9 9.0 1.85
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 4 1 2.49 47.0 1.043 6.3 0.6 3.1 8.2 2.69
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 0 3 2.18 45.1 1.147 7.5 0.2 2.8 12.7 4.57
A (1 season) A 9 5 2.67 108.0 1.074 7.3 0.3 2.3 8.7 3.71
AAA (1 season) AAA 2 2 4.19 34.1 1.602 9.4 0.5 5.0 8.1 1.63
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/13/2011.

Between Double-A and Triple-A, Banuelos posted a 3.75 ERA and recorded nearly as many strikeouts as innings pitched.  He is not quite ready for the AL East, but the Yankees will be pressed to give him a shot out of Spring Training, We think he belongs back in the International League for a couple of months until he proves his fastball command is ready for the Show.  I’m usually far more conservative in projecting guys who cannot command their fastballs, but 20-year-old lefties with this kind of stuff are hard not to fall in love with.

Top 50 Prospects: #27 – Travis d’Arnaud

#27 Travis d’Arnaud

Toronto Blue Jays

DOB: 2/10/1989

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

d’Arnaud earned MVP honors in the Eastern League in 2011 as a 22-year-old, and seems destined to produce big numbers for Toronto sooner rather than later.  As a key portion of the package that sent Roy Halladay to the Phils, the expectations have been high for d’Arnaud.  He delivered and then some in Double-A, and should open the year ready to torch Triple-A to the same tune that he did the Eastern League, with a call-up to the Jays possible at any time.

However, with J.P. Arencibia seemingly firmly entrenched behind the Toronto dish, d’Arnaud may have to wait until September or even 2013 to arrive at the Rogers Centre.  In 2011 for New Hampshire the former 37th-overall selection slashed .311/.371/.542 with 21 dingers.  He only walked 33 times, and plate discipline is his worst offensive tool, but he squares the ball up consistently and generates quality lift.  He covers the zone well and hits to all fields, so the lack of walks is less of a concern than it might be with other more pull-oriented hitters.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA
2007 18 Phillies GULF Rk PHI 41 151 141 18 3 0 4 20 4 2 .241
2008 19 2 Teams 2 Lgs A–A PHI 64 267 239 33 18 1 6 30 1 2 .305
2008 19 Williamsport NYPL A- PHI 48 197 175 21 13 1 4 25 1 2 .309
2008 19 Lakewood SALL A PHI 16 70 64 12 5 0 2 5 0 0 .297
2009 20 Lakewood SALL A PHI 126 540 482 71 38 1 13 71 8 4 .255
2010 21 Dunedin FLOR A+ TOR 71 292 263 36 20 1 6 38 3 1 .259
2011 22 New Hampshire EL AA TOR 114 466 424 72 33 1 21 78 4 2 .311
5 Seasons 416 1716 1549 230 112 4 50 237 20 11 .278
A (2 seasons) A 142 610 546 83 43 1 15 76 8 4 .260
AA (1 season) AA 114 466 424 72 33 1 21 78 4 2 .311
Rk (1 season) Rk 41 151 141 18 3 0 4 20 4 2 .241
A- (1 season) A- 48 197 175 21 13 1 4 25 1 2 .309
A+ (1 season) A+ 71 292 263 36 20 1 6 38 3 1 .259
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/11/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2007 18 Phillies GULF Rk PHI 41 151 141 4 20 4 23 .241 .278 .348 .626 49
2008 19 2 Teams 2 Lgs A–A PHI 64 267 239 6 30 23 39 .305 .367 .464 .831 111
2008 19 Williamsport NYPL A- PHI 48 197 175 4 25 18 29 .309 .371 .463 .833 81
2008 19 Lakewood SALL A PHI 16 70 64 2 5 5 10 .297 .357 .469 .826 30
2009 20 Lakewood SALL A PHI 126 540 482 13 71 41 75 .255 .319 .419 .738 202
2010 21 Dunedin FLOR A+ TOR 71 292 263 6 38 20 63 .259 .315 .411 .726 108
2011 22 New Hampshire EL AA TOR 114 466 424 21 78 33 100 .311 .371 .542 .914 230
5 Seasons 416 1716 1549 50 237 121 300 .278 .336 .452 .788 700
A (2 seasons) A 142 610 546 15 76 46 85 .260 .323 .425 .748 232
AA (1 season) AA 114 466 424 21 78 33 100 .311 .371 .542 .914 230
Rk (1 season) Rk 41 151 141 4 20 4 23 .241 .278 .348 .626 49
A- (1 season) A- 48 197 175 4 25 18 29 .309 .371 .463 .833 81
A+ (1 season) A+ 71 292 263 6 38 20 63 .259 .315 .411 .726 108
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/11/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G PB SB CS CS%
2007 18 Phillies GULF Rk PHI C 23 182 167 11 4 0 .978 7.74 7 19 6 24%
2008 19 2 Teams 2 Lgs A–A PHI C 58 504 453 41 10 1 .980 8.52 16 58 14 19%
2008 19 Williamsport NYPL A- PHI C 42 367 330 31 6 0 .984 8.60 11 41 12 23%
2008 19 Lakewood SALL A PHI C 16 137 123 10 4 1 .971 8.31 5 17 2 11%
2009 20 Lakewood SALL A PHI C 99 891 817 68 6 7 .993 8.94 9 132 40 23%
2010 21 Dunedin FLOR A+ TOR C 58 467 427 38 2 3 .996 8.02 2 38 16 30%
2011 22 New Hampshire EL AA TOR C 98 838 775 57 6 7 .993 8.49 13 66 24 27%
2011 22 New Hampshire EL AA TOR DH 14 0.00
5 Seasons 350 2882 2639 215 28 18 .990 8.15 47 313 100 24%
C (5 seasons) C 336 2882 2639 215 28 18 .990 8.49 47 313 100 24%
DH (1 season) DH 14 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/11/2011.

He is likely going to top out as an average receiver and thrower, and is a 40-45 in both areas now, but his bat is so good that no one will have any problem dealing with that in Toronto.  Despite the fact that the Doc deal also brought the Jays Kyle Drabek and Michael Taylor (who was immediately traded to the A’s and debuted in the Show in 2011), d’Arnaud is looking like the best piece that Toronto got in the trade.

Top 50 Prospects: #28 – Jake Odorizzi

#28 Jake Odorizzi

Kansas City Royals

DOB: 3/27/1990

Previous Rank: 35

ETA: 2013

As the highest ceiling player moved for Zack Greinke last winter in the blockbuster deal between the Royals and Brewers, the expectations were significant for Odorizzi this year.  He excelled in the Carolina League and earned himself a promotion to Double-A.  His numbers took a hit a little bit in his 12 starts for Northwest Arkansas as we might expect for a 21-year-old in an advanced league, but he still finished the year with an sub-4.00 ERA and 157 strikeouts against 44 walks in nearly 150 innings.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L W-L% ERA G GS SV IP BB SO
2008 18 Brewers ARIZ Rk MIL 1 2 .333 3.48 11 4 0 20.2 9 19
2009 19 Helena PION Rk MIL 1 4 .200 4.40 12 10 0 47.0 9 43
2010 20 Wisconsin MIDW A MIL 7 3 .700 3.43 23 20 1 120.2 40 135
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA KCR 10 7 .588 3.73 27 27 0 147.0 44 157
2011 21 Wilmington CARL A+ KCR 5 4 .556 2.87 15 15 0 78.1 22 103
2011 21 Northwest Arkansas TL AA KCR 5 3 .625 4.72 12 12 0 68.2 22 54
4 Seasons 19 16 .543 3.70 73 61 1 335.1 102 354
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 2 6 .250 4.12 23 14 0 67.2 18 62
A (1 season) A 7 3 .700 3.43 23 20 1 120.2 40 135
AA (1 season) AA 5 3 .625 4.72 12 12 0 68.2 22 54
A+ (1 season) A+ 5 4 .556 2.87 15 15 0 78.1 22 103
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/11/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2008 18 Brewers ARIZ Rk MIL 1 2 3.48 20.2 1.306 7.8 0.9 3.9 8.3 2.11
2009 19 Helena PION Rk MIL 1 4 4.40 47.0 1.362 10.5 0.6 1.7 8.2 4.78
2010 20 Wisconsin MIDW A MIL 7 3 3.43 120.2 1.152 7.4 0.5 3.0 10.1 3.38
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA KCR 10 7 3.73 147.0 1.211 8.2 1.0 2.7 9.6 3.57
2011 21 Wilmington CARL A+ KCR 5 4 2.87 78.1 1.149 7.8 0.5 2.5 11.8 4.68
2011 21 Northwest Arkansas TL AA KCR 5 3 4.72 68.2 1.282 8.7 1.7 2.9 7.1 2.45
4 Seasons 19 16 3.70 335.1 1.217 8.2 0.8 2.7 9.5 3.47
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 2 6 4.12 67.2 1.345 9.7 0.7 2.4 8.2 3.44
A (1 season) A 7 3 3.43 120.2 1.152 7.4 0.5 3.0 10.1 3.38
AA (1 season) AA 5 3 4.72 68.2 1.282 8.7 1.7 2.9 7.1 2.45
A+ (1 season) A+ 5 4 2.87 78.1 1.149 7.8 0.5 2.5 11.8 4.68
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/11/2011.

He likely will begin the year back in the Texas League, but a quick promotion is possible given the shortage of quality starters in KC and the urgency of competing in the Central before Alex Gordon and Billy Butler begin their declines.  Odorizzi is undoubtedly the top pitcher in the system, and we at The Sombrero really hope, for Kansas City’s sake, that they don’t do something stupid like trade him for a mid-level starter this winter or at the 2012 deadline if they are still in the hunt.

His fastball reaches 96 mph and sits at 93-94, and his breaking ball is a sledge when in the zone.  His command of it needs to improve, but he has a couple of years still before it absolutely must be reliable.  He throws a slider and a change as well, but they are behind the fastball and curveball and will be no better than 50s.  Still, Odorizzi is a strike-throwing fireballer with a projectable, athletic frame and results that suggest he will be a consistent No. 2 at worst.


Johan Santana’s Wine: Santana’s Select Merlot

Santana’s Select Merlot: The ideal wine for your adulterous adventures

 


From CharityWines.com:

The color of this wine is intense-deep ruby purple. Aromas of ripe plums, smoky berry fruits and spice. Juicy red currant flavors on the entry, followed with rich, red cherry, black cherry and blackberry flavors extending to the mid-palate. A long finish with spicy oak and velvety fruit. Soft, lush and colorful!