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Top 50 Prospects: #19 – Anthony Rizzo

#19 Anthony Rizzo

San Diego Padres

DOB: 8/8/1989

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2012

It is hard to still think of Rizzo as a rookie after he was punished to the tune of a .523 OPS for the Padres in 128 at-bats in 2011.  He still qualifies for this list, though, and while his stock did take a hit, he still is one of the top corner bat prospects in the game.  As soon as he was demoted to Tucson, he began raking again, slashing .331/.404/.652 with 26 jacks in only 356 at-bats.  He has true 60-grade power today with a chance at more.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB 2B HR RBI SB CS BA
2007 17 Red Sox GULF Rk BOS 6 24 21 0 1 3 0 0 .286
2008 18 Greenville SALL A BOS 21 87 83 6 0 11 0 0 .373
2009 19 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ BOS 119 503 445 37 12 66 4 1 .297
2009 19 Greenville SALL A BOS 64 274 245 21 9 42 2 1 .298
2009 19 Salem CARL A+ BOS 55 229 200 16 3 24 2 0 .295
2010 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-A+ BOS 136 602 531 42 25 100 10 1 .260
2010 20 Salem CARL A+ BOS 29 135 117 12 5 20 3 0 .248
2010 20 Portland EL AA BOS 107 467 414 30 20 80 7 1 .263
2011 21 Tucson PCL AAA SDP 93 413 356 34 26 101 7 6 .331
5 Seasons 375 1629 1436 119 64 281 21 8 .296
A (2 seasons) A 85 361 328 27 9 53 2 1 .317
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 84 364 317 28 8 44 5 0 .278
AA (1 season) AA 107 467 414 30 20 80 7 1 .263
Rk (1 season) Rk 6 24 21 0 1 3 0 0 .286
AAA (1 season) AAA 93 413 356 34 26 101 7 6 .331
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/27/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2007 17 Red Sox GULF Rk BOS 6 24 21 1 3 1 2 .286 .375 .429 .804 9
2008 18 Greenville SALL A BOS 21 87 83 0 11 3 15 .373 .402 .446 .848 37
2009 19 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ BOS 119 503 445 12 66 50 99 .297 .368 .461 .828 205
2009 19 Greenville SALL A BOS 64 274 245 9 42 25 60 .298 .365 .494 .859 121
2009 19 Salem CARL A+ BOS 55 229 200 3 24 25 39 .295 .371 .420 .791 84
2010 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-A+ BOS 136 602 531 25 100 61 132 .260 .334 .480 .814 255
2010 20 Salem CARL A+ BOS 29 135 117 5 20 16 32 .248 .333 .479 .812 56
2010 20 Portland EL AA BOS 107 467 414 20 80 45 100 .263 .334 .481 .815 199
2011 21 Tucson PCL AAA SDP 93 413 356 26 101 43 89 .331 .404 .652 1.056 232
5 Seasons 375 1629 1436 64 281 158 337 .296 .366 .514 .880 738
A (2 seasons) A 85 361 328 9 53 28 75 .317 .374 .482 .856 158
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 84 364 317 8 44 41 71 .278 .357 .442 .799 140
AA (1 season) AA 107 467 414 20 80 45 100 .263 .334 .481 .815 199
Rk (1 season) Rk 6 24 21 1 3 1 2 .286 .375 .429 .804 9
AAA (1 season) AAA 93 413 356 26 101 43 89 .331 .404 .652 1.056 232
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/27/2011.
Year Age Tm G PA AB 2B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+
2007 17 BOS-min 6 24 21 0 1 3 0 0 1 2 .286 .375 .429 .804
2008 18 BOS-min 21 87 83 6 0 11 0 0 3 15 .373 .402 .446 .848
2009 19 BOS-min 119 503 445 37 12 66 4 1 50 99 .297 .368 .461 .828
2010 20 BOS-min 136 602 531 42 25 100 10 1 61 132 .260 .334 .480 .814
2011 21 SDP-min 93 413 356 34 26 101 7 6 43 89 .331 .404 .652 1.056
2011 21 SDP 49 153 128 8 1 9 2 1 21 46 .141 .281 .242 .523 51
1 Season 49 153 128 8 1 9 2 1 21 46 .141 .281 .242 .523 51
162 Game Avg. 162 506 423 26 3 30 7 3 69 152 .141 .281 .242 .523 51
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/27/2011.

His bat gets long to the ball, a tendency that lefties have had a fairly easy time exploiting, but he is athletic enough to develop his hit tool to a point that he should be able to stay inside of more pitches.  Rizzo is an elite defender at first, but will never be an average runner.  Who cares?  With time, the 22-year-old could develop into one of the top first basemen in the National League and makes the loss of Adrian Gonzalez considerably more tolerable.  He was the top offensive prospect in Boston’s organization before he became the centerpiece of the Gonzalez deal last winter.  After the Mat Latos trade, the Padres are several pieces away from a legitimate chance at contention, and they have a very bright youngster with a chance to hit in the middle of the order for years in Anthony Rizzo.


Top 50 Prospects: #20 – Archie Bradley

#20 Archie Bradley

Arizona Diamondbacks

DOB: 8/10/1992

Previous Rank: N/A

ETA: 2014

Archie Bradley went seventh overall in the 2011 draft, but he would be the consensus No. 1 in this year’s class and in many other years.  He has reached 101 mph with his fastball and his curveball was arguably the top pitch in the entire class, and it honestly gives him a chance at two pitches that could flash 80s on any given night.  Make no mistake; Bradley is as frontline as they come with excellent projection and athleticism.

He likely will bully his way through the low Minors because no one will even come close to being able to handle him until he reaches Double-A.  He operates well on a downhill plane but still manages to sink his fastball even beyond what he naturally creates with his delivery.  Because he lost some of every year up until now to football, the length he can get out of each start probably has a way to go before he can reach 100 pitches consistently without a loss in stuff or command.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA G GS IP H SO
2011 18 Missoula PION Rk ARI 0 0 0.00 2 1 2.0 1 4
1 Season 0 0 0.00 2 1 2.0 1 4
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/27/2011.

Nevertheless, this is just nitpicking.  Bradley is phenomenal, and as soon as he develops a quality third pitch he will be one of the very top prospects in baseball.  Imagine this possible rotation: Trevor Bauer, Daniel Hudson, Trevor Cahill, Ian Kennedy, Tyler Skaggs, and Bradley.  That could happen by the playoffs in 2013, something we are very confident Arizona will be a part of.


A dream come true year for Lance Jeffries (Prep Baseball Report)

Growing up, every aspiring baseball player shares a common dream: to one day play for their hometown team.  For many, it’s a dream that dissipates over time, as the daunting reality of what it takes to even play at the collegiate level takes center stage.

But for St. Louis native Lance Jeffries (right), the dream became a breathtaking reality on June 7, when the St. Louis Cardinals selected the McCluer outfielder in the 10th round of the 2011 MLB Amateur Draft.  Two days later, Jeffries and the Cardinals made it official when he signed his first professional contract, and was subsequently assigned to the organization’s Gulf Coast League affiliate in Florida.

As a senior, 6-foot, 205-pound Jeffries garnered Prep Baseball Report Missouri First Team All-State honors after posting a .457 batting average and .587 OBP, with 10 home runs, 38 runs scored, 45 RBI, and a perfect 46-for-46 in stolen bases.

However, it was obvious that Jeffries’ sheer athleticism extended well beyond his robust stats.  In August of 2010, the speedster opened eyes nation wide by running an event-best 6.6-second 60-yard dash at USA Baseball’s Breakthrough Series.  Then at Prep Baseball Report’s Super 60 draft showcase in McCook, IL last February, Jeffries flashed his 90+ mph arm and plus bat-speed.  In a matter of months, he had emerged as one of the nation’s more intriguing five-tool prep prospects.

Now, after an impressive inaugural campaign in the GCL, Jeffries is back in St. Louis and spending time with his friends and family. And despite his success and acclimation to life as a professional baseball player, the awe of being drafted – by his hometown team nonetheless – has hardly faded.

Continue reading ‘A dream come true year for Lance Jeffries’ at PrepBaseballReport.com >>

Top 50 Prospects: #21 – Nolan Arenado

#25 Nolan Arenado

Colorado Rockies

DOB: 4/16/1991

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Arenado was recently named MVP of the Arizona Fall League after slashing .388/.423/.636 with six jacks in 121 at-bats.  In the California League as a 20-year-old, Arenado posted a .298/.349/.487 line with 20 home runs and 32 doubles as well as nearly as many walks as strikeouts.  We expect Arenado to open the year in Double-A, and debut some time in Denver in 2013.

Arenado’s defense has been under scrutiny since he was an amateur, but he cut some weight last winter and improved his mobility in the process, silencing some doubters.  I am not convinced that he can be average at the hot corner yet, but he is definitely good enough to play at least a few seasons there before sliding to first.  His bat plays anywhere and has room to improve in the power category as well.  His speed is not even close to average, but it never has to be.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev G PA AB R 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA
2009 18 Casper PION Rk 54 225 203 28 15 0 2 22 5 2 .300
2010 19 Asheville SALL A 92 400 373 45 41 1 12 65 1 3 .308
2011 20 Modesto CALL A+ 134 583 517 82 32 3 20 122 2 1 .298
3 Seasons 280 1208 1093 155 88 4 34 209 8 6 .302
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/23/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev G PA AB HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2009 18 Casper PION Rk 54 225 203 2 22 16 18 .300 .351 .404 .755 82
2010 19 Asheville SALL A 92 400 373 12 65 19 52 .308 .338 .520 .858 194
2011 20 Modesto CALL A+ 134 583 517 20 122 47 53 .298 .349 .487 .836 252
3 Seasons 280 1208 1093 34 209 82 123 .302 .346 .483 .829 528
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/23/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2009 18 Casper PION Rk 3B 49 139 33 92 14 9 .899 2.55
2010 19 Asheville SALL A 3B 81 235 86 134 15 17 .936 2.72
2011 20 Modesto CALL A+ 3B 131 318 85 215 18 25 .943 2.29
3 Seasons 261 692 204 441 47 51 .932 2.47
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/23/2011.

Arenado is as exciting an infield prospect as exists in the game today, and he should make several all-star teams before he is done leaving his stamp on the NL West.

Top 50 Prospects: #22 – Drew Pomeranz

#22 Drew Pomeranz

Colorado Rockies

DOB: 11/22/1988

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2012

Pomeranz was the centerpiece of the deal that brought Ubaldo Jimenez to Cleveland, and we at The Sombrero thought the move was a win for the Rox in large part due to Pomeranz’ stuff and projectability.  Unfortunately, Colorado rushed him up to make four starts late in the year after 20 across three Minor League stops and none above Double-A.

He wasn’t awful in his Big League starts, but he did post an ERA above 5.00 with below average command and no real ability to miss bats.  However, he will only be 23 in 2012 and should return to the Colorado rotation with something to prove and a strong Minor League career to call on for a confidence boost.  The 6-foot-5 lefty fanned 119 Minor League batters in 2011 with only 38 walks and an sub-2.00 ERA in just over 100 innings.  Despite lacking any Triple-A experience, we don’t really think he has anything to prove in the Minors, and he certainly has enough in his plus fastball and double-plus curve to learn the intricacies of his changeup on the fly at the Major League level.

Year Age Tm Lg W L ERA G GS IP BB SO
2011 22 CLE-COL-min A+,AA 4 3 1.78 20 20 101.0 38 119 KIN,AKR,TUL · CARL,EL,TL
2011 22 COL NL 2 1 5.40 4 4 18.1 5 13
1 Season 2 1 5.40 4 4 18.1 5 13
162 Game Avg. 17 9 5.40 34 34 156 43 111
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/20/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg W L ERA IP ERA+ WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2011 22 CLE-COL-min A+,AA 4 3 1.78 101.0 1.050 6.1 0.3 3.4 10.6 3.13 KIN,AKR,TUL · CARL,EL,TL
2011 22 COL NL 2 1 5.40 18.1 84 1.309 9.3 0.0 2.5 6.4 2.60
1 Season 2 1 5.40 18.1 84 1.309 9.3 0.0 2.5 6.4 2.60
162 Game Avg. 17 9 5.40 156 84 1.309 9.3 0.0 2.5 6.4 2.60
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/20/2011.

It could be Pomeranz’ third plus or better offering, but it never really has to be.  Pomeranz was the top collegiate arm in his draft class (2010) coming out of Mississippi, and his frame, stuff, and handedness all suggest that he will be front line in Colorado for years.