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Video: Bryce Harper adjusts stride, load at the plate

 

As you can see, Bryce Harper has fine-tuned his swing since making his professional debut in the Arizona Fall League in 2010.  Gone is the last minute, inward-foot-turn load.  Now, Harper has a more traditional stride and load that I would assume allows him to drive more off-speed and outer-half offerings.  But just because he’s made adjustments doesn’t mean he’s sacrificed any of his robust power.  From what I can see, and from what his Minor League and Arizona Fall League stats indicate, his power is just as ridiculous, if not more ridiculous – if that’s even possible.  All I know is that I can’t wait for Spring Training to roll around so that the “is Bryce Harper ready for the Major Leagues?” debate once again consumes the baseball world.

Top 50 Prospects: #40 – Hak-Ju Lee

#40 Hak-Ju Lee

Tampa Bay Rays

DOB: 11/4/1990

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Lee was signed as an 18-year-old out of South Korea and was sent to Tampa from the Cubs in the Matt Garza deal.  He likely will prove to be the most valuable chip that was traded in that deal except for maybe Garza himself.  Lee is an exceptional fielder, arguably the best shortstop in the Minors today in terms of what he is capable of in the field.  He has phenomenal range and a plus arm with outstanding instincts and feel for the position.  His bat is behind and he will never provide the thump to be the consistent all-star that some other shortstop prospects likely will.

Lee is going to approach a .300 average in at least a season or two.  In 2011 across two stops including 100 at-bats in the Southern League with Montgomery, Lee posted a .292/.365/.416 slash line with 33 swipes and 37 XBH’s.  He will probably never approach a 20-bomb Major League season, but he runs well and can stretch for a handful of extra bags each year beyond a replacement level guy.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC 68 304 264 56 87 14 2 2 33 25 8 .330
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC 122 551 485 85 137 22 4 1 40 32 7 .282
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR 121 568 500 98 146 17 15 5 30 33 16 .292
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR 97 454 400 82 127 16 11 4 23 28 14 .318
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR 24 114 100 16 19 1 4 1 7 5 2 .190
3 Seasons 311 1423 1249 239 370 53 21 8 103 90 31 .296
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC 68 304 264 2 33 31 50 .330 .399 .420 .820 111
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC 122 551 485 1 40 49 86 .282 .354 .351 .704 170
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR 121 568 500 5 30 53 94 .292 .365 .416 .781 208
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR 97 454 400 4 23 42 72 .318 .389 .443 .832 177
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR 24 114 100 1 7 11 22 .190 .272 .310 .582 31
3 Seasons 311 1423 1249 8 103 133 230 .296 .368 .392 .760 489
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2009 18 Boise NORW A- CHC SS 61 334 92 215 27 35 .919 5.03
2010 19 Peoria MIDW A CHC SS 118 561 178 349 34 73 .939 4.47
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+-AA TBR SS 118 542 172 352 18 62 .967 4.44
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR SS 94 444 141 287 16 55 .964 4.55
2011 20 Charlotte FLOR A+ TBR DH 3 0.00
2011 20 Montgomery SOUL AA TBR SS 24 98 31 65 2 7 .980 4.00
3 Seasons 300 1437 442 916 79 170 .945 4.53
SS (3 seasons) SS 297 1437 442 916 79 170 .945 4.57
DH (1 season) DH 3 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/21/2011.

We expect Lee to begin 2012 as a 21-year-old shortstop in Double-A with a chance to reach the Show later in the season or open the 2013 season as the starter at Tropicana.  If we’ve learned anything, though, it’s that Tampa is more than willing to be aggressive with promotions especially in years in which they are in contention.  We expect Tampa to be very competitive in 2012 too.

Video: NL Cy Young Winner Clayton Kershaw

2011 NL Cy Young Winner Clayton Kershaw warms up in the bullpen before a 2010 start

Top 50 Prospects: #41 – Zack Wheeler

#41 Zack Wheeler

New York Mets

DOB: 5/30/1990

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2014

Wheeler was traded straight up for Carlos Beltran in July and was sent immediately to High Class A St. Lucie where he posted a 2.00 ERA with a 31:5 K:BB ratio in 27 innings.  Those numbers were considerably better than those from the 88 innings he threw in the California League before the trade.  Nevertheless, Wheeler immediately became the top prospect in the Mets organization, and at just 21 years of age, he should be in the rotation at Citi by 2014.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA G GS IP BB SO HBP
2010 20 Augusta SALL A SFG 3 3 3.99 21 13 58.2 38 70 7
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+ SFG,NYM 9 7 3.52 22 22 115.0 52 129 6
2011 21 San Jose CALL A+ SFG 7 5 3.99 16 16 88.0 47 98 4
2011 21 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 2 2 2.00 6 6 27.0 5 31 2
2 Seasons 12 10 3.68 43 35 173.2 90 199 13
A+ (1 season) A+ 9 7 3.52 22 22 115.0 52 129 6
A (1 season) A 3 3 3.99 21 13 58.2 38 70 7
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/16/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2010 20 Augusta SALL A SFG 3 3 3.99 58.2 1.449 7.2 0.0 5.8 10.7 1.84
2011 21 2 Teams 2 Lgs A+ SFG,NYM 9 7 3.52 115.0 1.322 7.8 0.5 4.1 10.1 2.48
2011 21 San Jose CALL A+ SFG 7 5 3.99 88.0 1.375 7.6 0.7 4.8 10.0 2.09
2011 21 St. Lucie FLOR A+ NYM 2 2 2.00 27.0 1.148 8.7 0.0 1.7 10.3 6.20
2 Seasons 12 10 3.68 173.2 1.365 7.6 0.4 4.7 10.3 2.21
A+ (1 season) A+ 9 7 3.52 115.0 1.322 7.8 0.5 4.1 10.1 2.48
A (1 season) A 3 3 3.99 58.2 1.449 7.2 0.0 5.8 10.7 1.84
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/16/2011.

Wheeler features a fastball that sits consistently around 94-95 mph with the ability to reach back for 97 mph.  His best secondary pitch is a true 60 curveball with good 12-6 shape and about 15 mph off of the heater.  His third pitch is a changeup that is far behind the other two pitches at this point due primarily to an inability to maintain arm speed or slot.  The pitch has arm side life with sink, though, and has a chance to be a useable pitch with just minor improvement.

His 6-foot-4 frame is lanky and projectable and might still allow him to pick up a tick on the fastball.  Wheeler should begin the year in Double-A and might push that ETA up a bit, but the Mets are the worst team in the East and have no business rushing either Wheeler or Harvey in our opinion.  The good news for fans in Queens is that the Mets appear to finally have real pitching prospects with real top-of-the-rotation upside.

Top 50 Prospects: #42 – Yasmani Grandal

#42 Yasmani Grandal

Cincinnati Reds

DOB: 11/8/1988

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2013

Grandal, a product of the Miami Hurricanes program, had a monstrous year behind the dish across three stops, culminating with four games in the International League to close the season out.  He even has collected 12 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League.  Grandal, a switch hitter, was selected 12th overall in 2010, and in his first full professional season in 2011 slashed .305/.401/.500 as a 22-year old.  He should start the year in the high Minors with a chance to break in at some point during 2012.  The more realistic scenario likely has him cracking the lineup in Cincinnati in 2013 or somewhere else via a trade since Grandal is behind Devin Mesoraco on the depth chart, a consensus top-20 prospect.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN 8 33 28 4 8 1 0 0 1 4 4 .286
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN 105 441 374 69 114 31 0 14 68 59 97 .305
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN 56 251 206 47 61 14 0 10 40 41 57 .296
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN 45 172 156 20 47 15 0 4 26 13 39 .301
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN 4 18 12 2 6 2 0 0 2 5 1 .500
2 Seasons 113 474 402 73 122 32 0 14 69 63 101 .303
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN 8 33 28 0 1 .286 .394 .321 .715 9
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN 105 441 374 14 68 .305 .401 .500 .901 187
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN 56 251 206 10 40 .296 .410 .510 .920 105
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN 45 172 156 4 26 .301 .360 .474 .835 74
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN 4 18 12 0 2 .500 .667 .667 1.333 8
2 Seasons 113 474 402 14 69 .303 .401 .488 .888 196
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G PB SB CS CS%
2010 21 Reds ARIZ Rk CIN C 4 37 34 3 0 0 1.000 9.25 0 3 1 25%
2011 22 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-AAA CIN C 90 789 704 72 13 7 .984 8.62 19 75 39 34%
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN C 44 430 389 35 6 4 .986 9.64 14 37 19 34%
2011 22 Bakersfield CALL A+ CIN DH 12 0.00
2011 22 Carolina SOUL AA CIN C 42 316 273 36 7 3 .978 7.36 5 36 20 36%
2011 22 Louisville IL AAA CIN C 4 43 42 1 0 0 1.000 10.75 0 2 0 0%
2 Seasons 106 826 738 75 13 7 .984 7.67 19 78 40 34%
C (2 seasons) C 94 826 738 75 13 7 .984 8.65 19 78 40 34%
DH (1 season) DH 12 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/15/2011.

Still, Grandal’s glove typically receives better grades as does his arm than Mesoraco’s.  Scouts prefer Grandal’s ability from the left side of the dish a little better than from the right, but he’s plus from both sides.  With a full season behind the dish in the Show, Grandal could amass 20 bombs and approach a .300 average with good on-base skills and above average defense.  That sounds a lot like Victor Martinez to me, especially when considering that he hits from both sides.  Grandal is the kind of big-upside backstop that every club would like to see in the high Minors.