Rendon was our top guy going into the 2011 draft, injured or not. This kind of bat is not common. It might be draftable every five years or so, and it very rarely if ever can play a premium defensive position, let alone play it well. Yeah, Anthony Rendon is a tremendously valuable prospect for the Nationals and should challenge for MVP votes as early as 2014.
When healthy he is a double-plus hit tool player, with plus present power with a chance at a 70 in that category too. He has a plus eye, a plus glove, and a plus arm. His speed is behind the other tools, but it is good enough for 2B if Washington decides to go with him there. If that happens, then the club is looking at an infield of Ryan Zimmerman, Danny Espinosa, Rendon, and Mike Morse with Wilson Ramos behind the dish – every single guy on the dirt has a chance to make the NL All-Star squad.
Rendon signed late, so he has no professional statistics to assess, but we’d be surprised if he doesn’t go straight to Double-A and join Bryce Harper in the middle of the order for Harrisburg in the Eastern League. We don’t see any reason that Rendon can’t force his way into Washington before the 2012 season is over. Because he has such terrific makeup, adapting to professional baseball should be quite easy for him. We expect Rendon to play a decade of excellent professional baseball with a chance to make the All-Star team every single season. Aside from Bryce Harper, he is the top position prospect in the game.
While most of LoMo’s video spots on the MLB Network generally have been pretty stupid, this one is actually pretty funny. Plus, he incorporates Eric Hosmer into his act to pull off the Step Brothers-like dual interview.
However, I’ll be pretty disappointed if LoMo-ing suddenly takes America by storm.
This week Ryan Braun accepted the National League MVP award amidst perhaps more controversy than has ever before been associated with a postseason award. Quite obviously Braun has let down a great deal of people if he is indeed proven guilty of knowingly abusing illicit drugs to enhance his performance on the field. While there is wiggle room within that last sentence to suggest that Braun did nothing wrong even if he is found guilty of abuse, his reputation is forever tarnished. There is a very realistic chance that his name will be left off of ballots in the future for single season awards as well as Hall of Fame ballots upon Braun’s retirement.
We at The Sombrero certainly side with our generation in retaliation against the tyranny of the elderly BBWAA members, but their hold is not likely to be relinquished for over a decade. Braun’s ethical failure obviously casts the game in a dark shadow that seemingly has shrouded the game for two decades now, but is there anything positive that young players can take from these years of shame that has bettered the game for the long term? We think so.
Every time I return home to Farmington for a break from school, I lift on a near daily basis at one of two local gyms on my side of town. I have never been to either without seeing a teenage player or one in his early 20s working out as well. Whether these players are professionals home for the offseason, collegiate players home on holiday break, high school kids fresh off of fall or winter practice, club guys on off nights, or middle school kids new to high school athletics and familiarizing themselves with the weight room for the first time, these players all are utilizing reasonably advanced physical training techniques specifically geared toward baseball athleticism. Rare is it nowadays for any kid to succeed on the field without training on the track or in the weight room both in and out of season.
I am not attempting to suggest that the reason these players are training athletically is an attempt to emulate steroid abusers of today and of yesteryear, but even offseason workouts were less developed in the days before PED abuse. Watching guys like Jose Bautista and Prince Fielder go very long without prototypical bodybuilder frames should come as encouragement to young hitters.
Prince and Bautista are quite noteworthy for their specific workout regimens within the game, and while neither looks like Jose Canseco did in the late ‘80s, they still represent an end to hard work in the gym. Both players have had to spend their entire careers attempting to overcome genetic slighting, and they both have done so magnificently. These players are less of the model and more like today’s young players. We all spend our lives both fighting and attempting to enhance our own genetic makeup within the game, and the steroid era in baseball, which I prefer to think of as the fitness revolution in baseball, demonstrated the lengths that players can go legally and illegally to do so.
While today’s game is policed much more thoroughly and the rules are enforced far more harshly than in the past, the hard work training in the gym and at the track hasn’t left the game and likely never will. While we cannot thank steroids for that, we can thank many steroid abusers as well as quite likely many more non-abusers who were forced to train alongside those cheaters simply to share the same field. Today’s young players carry that desire with them in greater frequency than ever before, and it is very refreshing for former players like myself and the other writers here at The Sombrero.
Machado is the top middle infield prospect in the Minors today, unless we are counting Anthony Rendon. The Florida-native failed at the plate upon a promotion to the Carolina League, but he torched the Sally League, posting an .859 OPS and walking nearly as many times as he struck out. His posted a slash line of .245/.308/.384 on the year, went deep 11 times, and stole 11 bases, but needs to make more consistent contact as well as develop some discipline in the box.
Machado has elite tools and no real weaknesses, and should develop into one of the truly special shortstops in the game. Scouts see him as a plus-hit/plus-power offensive player with enough range and more than enough arm for short. His hands are not consistent in the field and his footwork can get sloppy, but a teenager at short in the Carolina League is given the benefit of the doubt every time. If he is forced to shift positions, which we are skeptical of (at least for the rest of this decade), he will have plenty of bat to stick at third. Machado is as toolsy as they come, and when he grows into his 6-foot-3 frame a bit, he will light up whatever league he finds himself in.
On the latest installment of The Baseball Show, Clint, MJ, and I discussed the week’s most interesting story lines as well as our usual assortment of nonsense.
We started things off by discussing Yu Darvish and how his signing was inevitable after the Rangers posted a $51.7MM bid, so it’s no surprise that they ultimately paid $111MM. According to MJ, Darvish would have to produce a 22 WAR over the next six years to justify his price. But what separates Darvish from previous imports like Hideo Nomo and Dice-K?
We also debate whether or not Darvish will perform like the No. 1 starter that Rangers expect him to be.
We discuss MJ’s Baseball Prospectus debut, “The Advantage of Low Expectations,” which has been well received throughout the baseball blogosphere.
A day after our last show, the Yankees and Mariners conducted a big-time prospect swap, as the Bronx Bombers sent Jesus Montero and Hector Noesi to the Mariners for Michael Pineda and Jose Campos. We evaluate the trade and can’t help but feel that the Yankees were on the winning end of this swap.
Who has received the best return for their starting pitcher this offseason? Although we agree the Padres received a great haul for Mat Latos, we unanimously agree the A’s received the best return this offseason.
And of course, what would The Baseball Show be without “Ask MJ…”
Clint:
Would you take a job in the Angels front office if it were offered to you today?
Yes
Cure for hangover? No booze – note: you can’t say “more booze.”
You’re going to have to find a Waffle House and order the greasiest Cheese Stake plate with hash browns and jalapeños to get through it.
Weirdest thing you’ve ever owned or collected?
I was a huge baseball card fan, but mainly when I was growing up I spent a lot of money on hockey cards for some reason. I doubt I could get anything for my Pavel Buree rookie card. I do have an autographed John Smoltz Starting Lineup figurine still in its package.
If you could sit at a bar and have a drink with any three sports figures, who would it be and why?
1) Mickey Mantle – We’re going to have a good time and hopefully get into some trouble
2) Wayne Gretzky – He was my hero growing up
3) Dana White – I like I guy who curses every other word
4) More so 3a) Mike Trout received an honorable mention provided that MJ can find him a semi-decent fake I.D.
Clint:
1) Mickey Mantle
2) Willie Mays, but he’s just an old saltry prick
3) Joe Nameth – he likes to drink Johnny Walker
4) Babe Ruth – The more drunk Yankees the better
Mike:
1) Mickey Mantle
2) Michael Jordan
3) Mark Grace
We agree that Vin Scully would have to be there to narrate the entire night.
Mike:
If you could sponsor one BR page, regardless of price, who would it be?
Too easy. I literally sat around waiting for Mike Trout to buy his page. If not, then it would probably be Barry Bonds.
Your favorite Disney movie?
Cinderalla, and you’re not going to believe his response…
Rookie of the Year or the Sandlot?
The Sandlot. No question.
Celery or Celery Salt?
Celery. They should just re-name it “ranch shovel”
Jered Weaver: Long hair or short hair?
Long hair! Come on, he’s a dirt bag.
If you could assume a fake identity, what would it be?
MJ: Viagra Nopantsman, a middle-aged pitcher; Hunter Dye and he’d carry around a shotgun like Omar from The Wire.
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