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Top 50 Prospects: #22 – Drew Pomeranz

#22 Drew Pomeranz

Colorado Rockies

DOB: 11/22/1988

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2012

Pomeranz was the centerpiece of the deal that brought Ubaldo Jimenez to Cleveland, and we at The Sombrero thought the move was a win for the Rox in large part due to Pomeranz’ stuff and projectability.  Unfortunately, Colorado rushed him up to make four starts late in the year after 20 across three Minor League stops and none above Double-A.

He wasn’t awful in his Big League starts, but he did post an ERA above 5.00 with below average command and no real ability to miss bats.  However, he will only be 23 in 2012 and should return to the Colorado rotation with something to prove and a strong Minor League career to call on for a confidence boost.  The 6-foot-5 lefty fanned 119 Minor League batters in 2011 with only 38 walks and an sub-2.00 ERA in just over 100 innings.  Despite lacking any Triple-A experience, we don’t really think he has anything to prove in the Minors, and he certainly has enough in his plus fastball and double-plus curve to learn the intricacies of his changeup on the fly at the Major League level.

Year Age Tm Lg W L ERA G GS IP BB SO
2011 22 CLE-COL-min A+,AA 4 3 1.78 20 20 101.0 38 119 KIN,AKR,TUL · CARL,EL,TL
2011 22 COL NL 2 1 5.40 4 4 18.1 5 13
1 Season 2 1 5.40 4 4 18.1 5 13
162 Game Avg. 17 9 5.40 34 34 156 43 111
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/20/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg W L ERA IP ERA+ WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2011 22 CLE-COL-min A+,AA 4 3 1.78 101.0 1.050 6.1 0.3 3.4 10.6 3.13 KIN,AKR,TUL · CARL,EL,TL
2011 22 COL NL 2 1 5.40 18.1 84 1.309 9.3 0.0 2.5 6.4 2.60
1 Season 2 1 5.40 18.1 84 1.309 9.3 0.0 2.5 6.4 2.60
162 Game Avg. 17 9 5.40 156 84 1.309 9.3 0.0 2.5 6.4 2.60
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/20/2011.

It could be Pomeranz’ third plus or better offering, but it never really has to be.  Pomeranz was the top collegiate arm in his draft class (2010) coming out of Mississippi, and his frame, stuff, and handedness all suggest that he will be front line in Colorado for years.


Top 50 Prospects: #23 – Martin Perez

#23 Martin Perez

Texas Rangers

DOB: 4/4/1991

Previous Rank: 28

ETA: 2012

Perez finally threw up the stats to back up his enormous potential…and then plummeted back to earth after a promotion to Triple-A.  As one of the top pitchers in the Texas League and quite likely the top lefty, Perez posted a 3.16 ERA in 88.1 innings with 83 strikeouts compared to 36 walks.  While that is far too many walks, those numbers were still way better than any we’d seen thus far from Perez.   He then proceeded to put up a 6.83 ERA with – who really cares what the rest of his numbers were like after giving up that many runs?

Year Age Tm Lg Lev W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP BB SO
2008 17 Spokane NORW A- 1 2 3.65 15 15 0 0 61.2 28 53
2009 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-AA 6 8 2.90 27 19 0 0 114.2 38 119
2009 18 Hickory SALL A 5 5 2.31 22 14 0 0 93.2 33 105
2009 18 Frisco TL AA 1 3 5.57 5 5 0 0 21.0 5 14
2010 19 Frisco TL AA 5 8 5.96 24 23 0 0 99.2 50 101
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-AAA 8 6 4.33 27 26 1 1 137.1 56 120
2011 20 Frisco TL AA 4 2 3.16 17 16 1 1 88.1 36 83
2011 20 Round Rock PCL AAA 4 4 6.43 10 10 0 0 49.0 20 37
4 Seasons 20 24 4.22 93 83 1 1 413.1 172 393
AA (3 seasons) AA 10 13 4.74 46 44 1 1 209.0 91 198
A (1 season) A 5 5 2.31 22 14 0 0 93.2 33 105
A- (1 season) A- 1 2 3.65 15 15 0 0 61.2 28 53
AAA (1 season) AAA 4 4 6.43 10 10 0 0 49.0 20 37
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/19/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2008 17 Spokane NORW A- 1 2 3.65 61.2 1.524 9.6 0.4 4.1 7.7 1.89
2009 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-AA 6 8 2.90 114.2 1.299 8.7 0.4 3.0 9.3 3.13
2009 18 Hickory SALL A 5 5 2.31 93.2 1.228 7.9 0.3 3.2 10.1 3.18
2009 18 Frisco TL AA 1 3 5.57 21.0 1.619 12.4 0.9 2.1 6.0 2.80
2010 19 Frisco TL AA 5 8 5.96 99.2 1.676 10.6 1.1 4.5 9.1 2.02
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-AAA 8 6 4.33 137.1 1.515 10.0 0.7 3.7 7.9 2.14
2011 20 Frisco TL AA 4 2 3.16 88.1 1.313 8.2 0.6 3.7 8.5 2.31
2011 20 Round Rock PCL AAA 4 4 6.43 49.0 1.878 13.2 0.7 3.7 6.8 1.85
4 Seasons 20 24 4.22 413.1 1.495 9.7 0.7 3.7 8.6 2.28
AA (3 seasons) AA 10 13 4.74 209.0 1.517 9.7 0.9 3.9 8.5 2.18
A (1 season) A 5 5 2.31 93.2 1.228 7.9 0.3 3.2 10.1 3.18
A- (1 season) A- 1 2 3.65 61.2 1.524 9.6 0.4 4.1 7.7 1.89
AAA (1 season) AAA 4 4 6.43 49.0 1.878 13.2 0.7 3.7 6.8 1.85
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/19/2011.

Perez has pretty rocky fastball command for a prospect getting this kind of ranking, but his stuff is just too good to rank him any lower.  His fastball reaches the mid-90s, and he has arguably the finest breaking pitch in the Minors in the form of a heavy downer curveball.  It can flash double and triple-plus when it is on and in the zone, and we, like many, are very reluctant to slap an 80 on anything that isn’t a 100 mph heater or a 3.8 sec. to first.  He has a solid to plus changeup as well that shows quality fade and should be plenty to handle righties effectively.

Perez has elite stuff, and with more than a full season in the high Minors under his belt at just 20-years of age, could be a top of the rotation arm.  Reaching that level will require improved fastball command and a more consistent delivery, although the latter is greatly improved relative to what it was as a teenager.  We see a lot of Gio Gonzalez in Perez, and like Gio, Perez could be both an All-Star in the Show and excellent trade bait.

Top 50 Prospects: #24 – Josh Bell

#24 Josh Bell

Pittsburgh Pirates

DOB: 8/14/1992

Previous Rank: N/A

ETA: 2014

How is it that no one in the first round went after this guy?  It’s no secret for readers of The Sombrero that we were all in on Bell for whatever the cost.  It must have killed the Red Sox and any other team without a budget to see Pittsburgh get this kid signed.

Without a doubt Bell was the premier prep bat in the 2011 draft class, and the assumption was that Bell was unsignable regardless of the size of the bonus.  Wrong.  The Pirates got it done for $5 million, and as we learned last week what dramatic effects the new CBA will bring to the draft, that number is looking pretty damn tame.  Bell likely would be one of the first guys off of the board if not the first in three years, and the slot recommendation for the top pick is around $7.5 million and likely climbing.

Bell is a 60 hitter from both sides with a 60 future power grading.  His defense in the outfield is better than people gave him credit for prior to the draft, and it should improve as he matures to the point that he is at least average in left if not a 55.  We expect the Pirates to start Bell out in Easy A and to be patient with him, but bats like his are rare.  Look for the Bucs to push Bell through as fast as they can to ensure that he reaches PNC before Pedro Alvarez and Andrew McCutchen begin to decline and as Jameson Taillon and Gerrit Cole are reaching their primes.

The Pirates system is not making quite as much noise as Washington’s due in large part to the fact that Bryce Harper is in the latter, but they are just about as stellar at the top and might even be deeper.  Bell is without a doubt the top bat in the Pirates organization and could challenge for a top 10 ranking in 2012.

Top 50 Prospects: #25 – Miguel Sano

#25 Miguel Sano

Minnesota Twins

DOB: 5/11/1993

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2014

Sano was the top international free agent in 2009, and he absolutely torched the Appalachian League in 2011 posting a .292/.352/.637 slash line with 20 jacks.  He was the consensus top player in the league and one of the top players in the low Minors nationwide.  Sano can go out to all fields but demonstrates a great deal of rawness at the plate and in the field.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA
2010 17 2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-FRk MIN 61 241 212 34 16 1 7 29 4 3 .307
2010 17 Twins DOSL FRk MIN 20 80 64 11 2 1 3 10 2 1 .344
2010 17 Twins GULF Rk MIN 41 161 148 23 14 0 4 19 2 2 .291
2011 18 Elizabethton APPY Rk MIN 66 293 267 58 18 7 20 59 5 4 .292
2 Seasons 127 534 479 92 34 8 27 88 9 7 .299
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 107 454 415 81 32 7 24 78 7 6 .292
FRk (1 season) FRk 20 80 64 11 2 1 3 10 2 1 .344
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/16/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev G PA AB HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB
2010 17 2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-FRk 61 241 212 7 29 4 3 24 60 .307 .379 .491 .870 104
2010 17 Twins DOSL FRk 20 80 64 3 10 2 1 14 17 .344 .463 .547 1.009 35
2010 17 Twins GULF Rk 41 161 148 4 19 2 2 10 43 .291 .338 .466 .804 69
2011 18 Elizabethton APPY Rk 66 293 267 20 59 5 4 23 77 .292 .352 .637 .988 170
2 Seasons 127 534 479 27 88 9 7 47 137 .299 .364 .572 .936 274
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 107 454 415 24 78 7 6 33 120 .292 .347 .576 .922 239
FRk (1 season) FRk 20 80 64 3 10 2 1 14 17 .344 .463 .547 1.009 35
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/16/2011.

He gets down late and cannot hold back on breaking stuff out of the zone as a result, but that can be a quick fix for an athlete as strong and agile as Sano.  His arm has plenty of juice for any spot on the field, suggesting that he can stay at the hot corner.  Nevertheless, defense is way more than arm strength, and Sano is flat out rough in terms of footwork and glovework.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev Aff G Ch PO A E DP Fld% RF/G
2010 17 2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-FRk MIN 3B 36 102 25 60 17 3 .833 2.36
2010 17 2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-FRk MIN SS 18 88 33 50 5 12 .943 4.61
2010 17 Twins DOSL FRk MIN SS 2 6 2 3 1 1 .833 2.50
2010 17 Twins DOSL FRk MIN 3B 15 48 14 27 7 1 .854 2.73
2010 17 Twins GULF Rk MIN SS 16 82 31 47 4 11 .951 4.88
2010 17 Twins GULF Rk MIN 3B 21 54 11 33 10 2 .815 2.10
2011 18 Elizabethton APPY Rk MIN 3B 48 158 35 108 15 9 .905 2.98
2011 18 Elizabethton APPY Rk MIN SS 16 67 17 39 11 6 .836 3.50
2011 18 Elizabethton APPY Rk MIN DH 4 0.00
2 Seasons 122 415 110 257 48 30 .884 3.01
SS (2 seasons) SS 34 155 50 89 16 18 .897 4.09
3B (2 seasons) 3B 84 260 60 168 32 12 .877 2.71
DH (1 season) DH 4 0.00
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/16/2011.

That said, with his bat and age on his side, Sano should be able to make a jump into the high Minors some time in 2012.  He has a long way to go, and is likely to lose a step as he matures, but if he can convince enough people that he belongs at third and develop some discipline in the box, he can be one of the game’s elite infielders.  Third base has been a revolving door in Minneapolis, but with Sano, the Twins firmly believe, as do many across the game, that those days may be behind the organization.


Top 50 Prospects: #26 – Manny Banuelos

#26 Manny Banuelos

New York Yankees

DOB: 3/13/1991

Previous Rank: N/R

ETA: 2012

Don’t look now, but it appears the Yankees will graduate a quality young starting pitcher to the Big Leagues for the second consecutive season.  Banuelos’ 5-foot-11 and 155-pound frame certainly does not ooze projection, but the southpaw can reach back for 95 mph when he needs it and cruises at 92-94 mph most nights.

Because his command is shaky (52 walks in under 160 innings), most evaluators prefer him at the lower end, but he should improve as he matures.  His secondary stuff has great action in the form of a changeup with sharp fade and a heavy, digging breaking ball.  He can afford to come up a little in terms of command with all of his pitches, but the stuff is there.

Year Age Tm Lg Lev W L ERA G GS CG SHO IP BB SO
2008 17 Yankees GULF Rk 4 1 2.57 12 3 0 0 42.0 13 37
2009 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ 9 5 2.64 26 19 0 0 109.0 28 106
2009 18 Charleston SALL A 9 5 2.67 25 19 0 0 108.0 28 104
2009 18 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 0 0.00 1 0 0 0 1.0 0 2
2010 19 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-Rk 0 4 2.51 15 15 0 0 64.2 25 85
2010 19 Yankees GULF Rk 0 0 1.80 2 2 0 0 5.0 3 6
2010 19 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 3 2.23 10 10 0 0 44.1 14 62
2010 19 Trenton EL AA 0 1 3.52 3 3 0 0 15.1 8 17
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-AAA 6 7 3.75 27 27 1 1 129.2 71 125
2011 20 Trenton EL AA 4 5 3.59 20 20 0 0 95.1 52 94
2011 20 Scranton/Wilkes-Barre IL AAA 2 2 4.19 7 7 1 1 34.1 19 31
4 Seasons 19 17 3.02 80 64 1 1 345.1 137 353
AA (2 seasons) AA 4 6 3.58 23 23 0 0 110.2 60 111
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 4 1 2.49 14 5 0 0 47.0 16 43
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 0 3 2.18 11 10 0 0 45.1 14 64
A (1 season) A 9 5 2.67 25 19 0 0 108.0 28 104
AAA (1 season) AAA 2 2 4.19 7 7 1 1 34.1 19 31
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/13/2011.
Year Age Tm Lg Lev W L ERA IP WHIP H/9 HR/9 BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
2008 17 Yankees GULF Rk 4 1 2.57 42.0 1.071 6.9 0.6 2.8 7.9 2.85
2009 18 2 Teams 2 Lgs A-A+ 9 5 2.64 109.0 1.064 7.3 0.3 2.3 8.8 3.79
2009 18 Charleston SALL A 9 5 2.67 108.0 1.074 7.3 0.3 2.3 8.7 3.71
2009 18 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 0 0.00 1.0 0.000 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0
2010 19 3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-Rk 0 4 2.51 64.2 1.222 7.5 0.4 3.5 11.8 3.40
2010 19 Yankees GULF Rk 0 0 1.80 5.0 0.800 1.8 0.0 5.4 10.8 2.00
2010 19 Tampa FLOR A+ 0 3 2.23 44.1 1.173 7.7 0.2 2.8 12.6 4.43
2010 19 Trenton EL AA 0 1 3.52 15.1 1.500 8.8 1.2 4.7 10.0 2.13
2011 20 2 Teams 2 Lgs AA-AAA 6 7 3.75 129.2 1.550 9.0 0.6 4.9 8.7 1.76
2011 20 Trenton EL AA 4 5 3.59 95.1 1.531 8.9 0.7 4.9 8.9 1.81
2011 20 Scranton/Wilkes-Barre IL AAA 2 2 4.19 34.1 1.602 9.4 0.5 5.0 8.1 1.63
4 Seasons 19 17 3.02 345.1 1.277 7.9 0.5 3.6 9.2 2.58
AA (2 seasons) AA 4 6 3.58 110.2 1.527 8.9 0.7 4.9 9.0 1.85
Rk (2 seasons) Rk 4 1 2.49 47.0 1.043 6.3 0.6 3.1 8.2 2.69
A+ (2 seasons) A+ 0 3 2.18 45.1 1.147 7.5 0.2 2.8 12.7 4.57
A (1 season) A 9 5 2.67 108.0 1.074 7.3 0.3 2.3 8.7 3.71
AAA (1 season) AAA 2 2 4.19 34.1 1.602 9.4 0.5 5.0 8.1 1.63
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 12/13/2011.

Between Double-A and Triple-A, Banuelos posted a 3.75 ERA and recorded nearly as many strikeouts as innings pitched.  He is not quite ready for the AL East, but the Yankees will be pressed to give him a shot out of Spring Training, We think he belongs back in the International League for a couple of months until he proves his fastball command is ready for the Show.  I’m usually far more conservative in projecting guys who cannot command their fastballs, but 20-year-old lefties with this kind of stuff are hard not to fall in love with.